Statistics / Football / Denmark. 2. Division / FA 2000 vs Naestved

FA 2000 vs Naestved Statistics & Analysis

FA 2000 FA 2000
Oct 10, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.27
1 1.33
xG Accuracy: 85%
Naestved Naestved
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Naestved Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13195990

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · FA 2000 1–1 Naestved
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 2. Division
  • Fixture: FA 2000 vs Naestved
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): FA 2000 1.27 — Naestved 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.8% · Probability edge: +6.0 pts · Est. EV: +7.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Division 2. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Nykobing FC 10 6 4 0 22
2 Roskilde 11 5 6 0 21
3 VSK Århus 10 5 3 2 18
4 B 93 11 5 3 3 18
5 Middelfart 11 4 5 2 17
6 Naestved 11 3 7 1 16
7 Skive 11 4 2 5 14
8 Fremad Amager 11 3 5 3 14
9 Brabrand 11 3 3 5 12
10 HIK 11 2 3 6 9
11 FA 2000 11 1 3 7 6
12 Thisted FC 11 1 2 8 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Nykobing FC 10 25 11 +14 22
2 Roskilde 11 21 10 +11 21
3 Middelfart 11 19 13 +6 17
4 B 93 11 19 14 +5 18
5 Naestved 11 15 13 +2 16
6 VSK Århus 10 14 7 +7 18
7 Skive 11 13 15 -2 14
8 Fremad Amager 11 13 16 -3 14
9 Brabrand 11 13 18 -5 12
10 FA 2000 11 11 23 -12 6
11 HIK 11 9 19 -10 9
12 Thisted FC 11 9 22 -13 5
2. Division Denmark. 2. Division Predictions