Statistics / Football / Denmark. 2. Division / Thisted FC vs Roskilde

Thisted FC vs Roskilde Statistics & Analysis

Thisted FC Thisted FC
Oct 04, 2026 - 12:00
0 1.30
2 1.30
xG Accuracy: 58%
Roskilde Roskilde
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Thisted FC Roskilde ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 01:12 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11663655

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Roskilde win · Thisted FC 0–2 Roskilde
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 2. Division
  • Fixture: Thisted FC vs Roskilde
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Thisted FC 1.3 — Roskilde 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.4% · Probability edge: +6.4 pts · Est. EV: +9.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Division 2. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Nykobing FC 10 6 4 0 22
2 VSK Århus 10 5 3 2 18
3 Middelfart 10 4 5 1 17
4 Roskilde 9 3 6 0 15
5 B 93 10 4 3 3 15
6 Naestved 10 3 6 1 15
7 Skive 10 4 2 4 14
8 Fremad Amager 10 3 5 2 14
9 Brabrand 10 2 3 5 9
10 HIK 10 2 2 6 8
11 FA 2000 10 1 2 7 5
12 Thisted FC 9 1 1 7 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Nykobing FC 10 25 11 +14 22
2 Middelfart 10 18 10 +8 17
3 Roskilde 9 16 10 +6 15
4 B 93 10 16 13 +3 15
5 VSK Århus 10 14 7 +7 18
6 Naestved 10 14 12 +2 15
7 Skive 10 13 12 +1 14
8 Fremad Amager 10 13 15 -2 14
9 Brabrand 10 12 18 -6 9
10 FA 2000 10 10 22 -12 5
11 HIK 10 8 18 -10 8
12 Thisted FC 9 8 19 -11 4
2. Division Denmark. 2. Division Predictions