Middelfart vs FA 2000 Statistics & Analysis

Middelfart

Oct 03, 2026 - 12:00

1 1.39

0 1.21

xG Accuracy: 64%

FA 2000

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Middelfart Middelfart ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11225538

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Middelfart win · Middelfart 1–0 FA 2000

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: 2. Division
Fixture: Middelfart vs FA 2000
Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): Middelfart 1.39 — FA 2000 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

2. Division — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Nykobing FC	10	6	4	0	22
2	VSK Århus	10	5	3	2	18
3	Middelfart	10	4	5	1	17
4	Roskilde	9	3	6	0	15
5	B 93	10	4	3	3	15
6	Naestved	10	3	6	1	15
7	Skive	10	4	2	4	14
8	Fremad Amager	10	3	5	2	14
9	Brabrand	10	2	3	5	9
10	HIK	10	2	2	6	8
11	FA 2000	10	1	2	7	5
12	Thisted FC	9	1	1	7	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Nykobing FC	10	25	11	+14	22
2	Middelfart	10	18	10	+8	17
3	Roskilde	9	16	10	+6	15
4	B 93	10	16	13	+3	15
5	VSK Århus	10	14	7	+7	18
6	Naestved	10	14	12	+2	15
7	Skive	10	13	12	+1	14
8	Fremad Amager	10	13	15	-2	14
9	Brabrand	10	12	18	-6	9
10	FA 2000	10	10	22	-12	5
11	HIK	10	8	18	-10	8
12	Thisted FC	9	8	19	-11	4