Statistics / Football / Denmark. 2. Division / VSK Århus vs Brabrand

VSK Århus vs Brabrand Statistics & Analysis

Oct 02, 2026 - 17:00
0 1.39
2 1.21
xG Accuracy: 55%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 VSK Århus Brabrand ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10975535

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Brabrand win · VSK Århus 0–2 Brabrand
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 2. Division
  • Fixture: VSK Århus vs Brabrand
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): VSK Århus 1.39 — Brabrand 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 47.6% · Probability edge: +4.2 pts · Est. EV: +3.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Division 2. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Nykobing FC 10 6 4 0 22
2 VSK Århus 10 5 3 2 18
3 Middelfart 10 4 5 1 17
4 Roskilde 9 3 6 0 15
5 B 93 10 4 3 3 15
6 Naestved 10 3 6 1 15
7 Skive 10 4 2 4 14
8 Fremad Amager 10 3 5 2 14
9 Brabrand 10 2 3 5 9
10 HIK 10 2 2 6 8
11 FA 2000 10 1 2 7 5
12 Thisted FC 9 1 1 7 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Nykobing FC 10 25 11 +14 22
2 Middelfart 10 18 10 +8 17
3 Roskilde 9 16 10 +6 15
4 B 93 10 16 13 +3 15
5 VSK Århus 10 14 7 +7 18
6 Naestved 10 14 12 +2 15
7 Skive 10 13 12 +1 14
8 Fremad Amager 10 13 15 -2 14
9 Brabrand 10 12 18 -6 9
10 FA 2000 10 10 22 -12 5
11 HIK 10 8 18 -10 8
12 Thisted FC 9 8 19 -11 4