Statistics / Football / Denmark. 2. Division / B 93 vs Thisted FC

B 93 vs Thisted FC Statistics & Analysis

B 93 B 93
Sep 26, 2026 - 13:00
1 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 64%
Thisted FC Thisted FC
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 B 93 B 93 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 21, 2026 · 01:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10089123

Closing Odds 1.67
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result B 93 win · B 93 1–0 Thisted FC
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

The largest late implied swing on this feed was about 1.57 percentage points on B 93 (1X2) between PRE30 and PRE1.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Under 2.5 goals by about 12.8 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
B 93 (1X2) 36.1 55.6 -19.5
Draw (1X2) 29.7 22.8 +6.9
Thisted FC (1X2) 34.2 21.6 +12.6
Over 2.5 goals 48.2 61.0 -12.8
Under 2.5 goals 51.8 39.0 +12.8
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 51.8% on Under 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 39.0%. The difference — about 12.8 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
B 93 (1X2) 1.6 1.67 -1.6
Draw (1X2) 4.09 4.08 +0.4
Thisted FC (1X2) 4.47 4.29 +1.2
Over 2.5 goals 1.52 1.54 -0.4
Under 2.5 goals 2.42 2.41 +0.4

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: 2. Division
  • Fixture: B 93 vs Thisted FC
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-26 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): B 93 1.32 — Thisted FC 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Division 2. Division — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Nykobing FC 9 6 3 0 21
2 VSK Århus 9 5 3 1 18
3 Roskilde 9 3 6 0 15
4 Fremad Amager 9 3 5 1 14
5 Middelfart 8 3 4 1 13
6 Naestved 8 3 4 1 13
7 B 93 9 3 3 3 12
8 Skive 9 3 2 4 11
9 HIK 9 2 2 5 8
10 Brabrand 9 1 3 5 6
11 FA 2000 9 1 2 6 5
12 Thisted FC 9 1 1 7 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Nykobing FC 9 24 10 +14 21
2 Roskilde 9 16 10 +6 15
3 Middelfart 8 15 8 +7 13
4 VSK Århus 9 14 5 +9 18
5 Fremad Amager 9 13 12 +1 14
6 B 93 9 13 13 0 12
7 Naestved 8 11 9 +2 13
8 Skive 9 11 12 -1 11
9 Brabrand 9 10 18 -8 6
10 FA 2000 9 10 21 -11 5
11 HIK 9 8 16 -8 8
12 Thisted FC 9 8 19 -11 4
2. Division Denmark. 2. Division Predictions