Statistics / Football / Netherlands. Eredivisie Women / PEC Zwolle W vs De Graafschap W

PEC Zwolle W vs De Graafschap W Statistics & Analysis

PEC Zwolle W PEC Zwolle W
Sep 20, 2026 - 10:15
2 1.31
3 1.29
xG Accuracy: 52%
⚽
De Graafschap W
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 PEC Zwolle W De Graafschap W ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 01:07 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8661893

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result De Graafschap W win · PEC Zwolle W 2–3 De Graafschap W
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Eredivisie Women
  • Fixture: PEC Zwolle W vs De Graafschap W
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-20 10:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.6% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.7%
  • xG (showing): PEC Zwolle W 1.31 — De Graafschap W 1.29 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for PEC Zwolle W & De Graafschap W!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Eredivisie Women Eredivisie Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Twente W 5 5 0 0 15
2 Ajax W 5 4 0 1 12
3 AZ 5 4 0 1 12
4 PSV/Eindhoven W 5 2 1 2 7
5 ADO Den Haag W 5 2 1 2 7
6 De Graafschap W 5 2 0 3 6
7 Feyenoord W 5 2 0 3 6
8 Heerenveen W 5 1 1 3 4
9 PEC Zwolle W 5 1 0 4 3
10 Utrecht W 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Twente W 5 22 3 +19 15
2 ADO Den Haag W 5 11 15 -4 7
3 PSV/Eindhoven W 5 10 8 +2 7
4 Ajax W 5 9 4 +5 12
5 AZ 5 9 8 +1 12
6 PEC Zwolle W 5 8 13 -5 3
7 De Graafschap W 5 7 8 -1 6
8 Heerenveen W 5 7 11 -4 4
9 Feyenoord W 5 6 13 -7 6
10 Utrecht W 5 4 10 -6 1
Eredivisie Women Netherlands. Eredivisie Women Predictions