Statistics / Football / Brazil. Carioca U20 / Volta Redonda U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20

Volta Redonda U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20 Statistics & Analysis

Oct 03, 2026 - 18:00
3 1.29
2 1.31
xG Accuracy: 52%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Portuguesa RJ U20 Volta Redonda U20 ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 3-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11257820

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Volta Redonda U20 win · Volta Redonda U20 3–2 Portuguesa RJ U20
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Carioca U20
  • Fixture: Volta Redonda U20 vs Portuguesa RJ U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.7% · Draw 29.7% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Volta Redonda U20 1.29 — Portuguesa RJ U20 1.31 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 03, 2026 (UTC)

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Carioca U20 Carioca U20 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Flamengo U20 9 8 0 1 24
2 Fluminense U20 8 7 1 0 22
3 Vasco da Gama U20 8 7 0 1 21
4 Sampaio Correa FE U20 9 4 2 3 14
5 Botafogo U20 7 2 2 3 8
6 Maricá U20 8 2 2 4 8
7 Madureira U20 8 1 5 2 8
8 Bangu U20 8 2 2 4 8
9 Boavista U20 8 2 2 4 8
10 Nova Iguaçu U20 9 1 4 4 7
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 8 1 2 5 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 8 0 2 6 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Flamengo U20 9 25 8 +17 24
2 Fluminense U20 8 22 6 +16 22
3 Vasco da Gama U20 8 16 5 +11 21
4 Sampaio Correa FE U20 9 12 17 -5 14
5 Botafogo U20 7 10 10 0 8
6 Maricá U20 8 10 11 -1 8
7 Boavista U20 8 10 15 -5 8
8 Nova Iguaçu U20 9 10 17 -7 7
9 Madureira U20 8 9 12 -3 8
10 Bangu U20 8 7 11 -4 8
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 8 4 11 -7 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 8 4 16 -12 2
Carioca U20 Brazil. Carioca U20 Predictions