Statistics / Football / Brazil. Carioca U20 / Flamengo U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20

Flamengo U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20 Statistics & Analysis

Oct 02, 2026 - 18:00
3 1.52
0 1.08
xG Accuracy: 50%
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Flamengo U20 Flamengo U20 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 3-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10978564

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Flamengo U20 win · Flamengo U20 3–0 Sampaio Correa FE U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Carioca U20
  • Fixture: Flamengo U20 vs Sampaio Correa FE U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.8% · Draw 28.8% · Away 25.4%
  • xG (showing): Flamengo U20 1.52 — Sampaio Correa FE U20 1.08 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 53.2% · No 46.8%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.2% · No 46.8%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Carioca U20 Carioca U20 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Flamengo U20 9 8 0 1 24
2 Fluminense U20 9 7 2 0 23
3 Vasco da Gama U20 9 7 1 1 22
4 Sampaio Correa FE U20 9 4 2 3 14
5 Botafogo U20 8 3 2 3 11
6 Madureira U20 9 1 6 2 9
7 Boavista U20 9 2 3 4 9
8 Maricá U20 9 2 2 5 8
9 Bangu U20 8 2 2 4 8
10 Nova Iguaçu U20 9 1 4 4 7
11 Portuguesa RJ U20 9 1 2 6 5
12 Volta Redonda U20 9 1 2 6 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Flamengo U20 9 25 8 +17 24
2 Fluminense U20 9 23 7 +16 23
3 Vasco da Gama U20 9 17 6 +11 22
4 Botafogo U20 8 14 11 +3 11
5 Sampaio Correa FE U20 9 12 17 -5 14
6 Maricá U20 9 11 15 -4 8
7 Boavista U20 9 11 16 -5 9
8 Madureira U20 9 10 13 -3 9
9 Nova Iguaçu U20 9 10 17 -7 7
10 Bangu U20 8 7 11 -4 8
11 Volta Redonda U20 9 7 18 -11 5
12 Portuguesa RJ U20 9 6 14 -8 5