Statistics / Football / France. National 1 / Rouen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01

Rouen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01 Statistics & Analysis

Rouen Rouen
Oct 03, 2026 - 18:45
2 1.39
0 1.21
xG Accuracy: 61%
Bourg-en-bresse 01 Bourg-en-bresse 01
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Rouen Rouen ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:48 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11260661

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Rouen win · Rouen 2–0 Bourg-en-bresse 01
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: National 1
  • Fixture: Rouen vs Bourg-en-bresse 01
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
  • xG (showing): Rouen 1.39 — Bourg-en-bresse 01 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
National 1 National 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 La Roche VF 8 5 3 0 18
2 Rouen 8 5 2 1 17
3 Caen 8 5 0 3 15
4 Concarneau 8 3 4 1 13
5 Versailles 8 4 1 3 13
6 Amiens 8 3 3 2 12
7 Cannes 8 2 6 0 12
8 Thionville Lusitanos 8 3 3 2 12
9 Gobelins 8 3 3 2 12
10 Bastia 9 3 2 4 11
11 Quevilly 8 2 4 2 10
12 Le Puy Foot 8 3 1 4 10
13 Orleans 9 2 3 4 9
14 Fleury 91 8 2 3 3 9
15 Valenciennes 8 2 2 4 8
16 Aubagne 8 2 1 5 7
17 Bourg-en-bresse 01 8 1 2 5 5
18 Villefranche 8 1 1 6 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Rouen 8 15 5 +10 17
2 Caen 8 15 9 +6 15
3 Thionville Lusitanos 8 14 13 +1 12
4 La Roche VF 8 12 7 +5 18
5 Fleury 91 8 12 10 +2 9
6 Versailles 8 12 12 0 13
7 Concarneau 8 10 7 +3 13
8 Le Puy Foot 8 10 9 +1 10
9 Amiens 8 9 3 +6 12
10 Valenciennes 8 9 13 -4 8
11 Cannes 8 8 3 +5 12
12 Quevilly 8 7 9 -2 10
13 Bastia 9 7 11 -4 11
14 Orleans 9 7 11 -4 9
15 Villefranche 8 7 19 -12 4
16 Gobelins 8 6 7 -1 12
17 Aubagne 8 5 9 -4 7
18 Bourg-en-bresse 01 8 5 13 -8 5