Statistics / Football / Austria. Frauenliga / Salzburg W vs First Vienna W

Salzburg W vs First Vienna W Statistics & Analysis

Salzburg W Salzburg W
Oct 03, 2026 - 15:00
3 1.33
1 1.27
xG Accuracy: 59%
First Vienna W First Vienna W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Salzburg W Salzburg W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 03:06 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11249799

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Salzburg W win · Salzburg W 3–1 First Vienna W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Frauenliga
  • Fixture: Salzburg W vs First Vienna W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 15:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.8%
  • xG (showing): Salzburg W 1.33 — First Vienna W 1.27 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Frauenliga Frauenliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 St. Pölten W 7 7 0 0 21
2 Sturm Graz W 8 6 1 1 19
3 Austria Wien W 7 5 1 1 16
4 Rheindorf Altach 8 5 1 2 16
5 Salzburg W 9 4 1 4 13
6 LASK 9 2 2 5 8
7 First Vienna W 9 1 4 4 7
8 SK Rapid W 7 1 3 3 6
9 Südburgenland W 9 1 2 6 5
10 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz 9 1 1 7 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 St. Pölten W 7 25 2 +23 21
2 Sturm Graz W 8 20 6 +14 19
3 Austria Wien W 7 19 2 +17 16
4 Rheindorf Altach 8 19 13 +6 16
5 First Vienna W 9 12 20 -8 7
6 Salzburg W 9 9 15 -6 13
7 LASK 9 9 15 -6 8
8 SK Rapid W 7 8 11 -3 6
9 Südburgenland W 9 6 24 -18 5
10 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz 9 5 24 -19 4