Statistics / Football / Austria. Frauenliga / Salzburg W vs Rheindorf Altach

Salzburg W vs Rheindorf Altach Statistics & Analysis

Salzburg W Salzburg W
Sep 12, 2026 - 12:30
1 1.36
3 1.24
xG Accuracy: 56%
Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Salzburg W Rheindorf Altach ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-3 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 07, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-7429584

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Rheindorf Altach win · Salzburg W 1–3 Rheindorf Altach
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Frauenliga
  • Fixture: Salzburg W vs Rheindorf Altach
  • Kickoff: 2026-09-12 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
  • xG (showing): Salzburg W 1.36 — Rheindorf Altach 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Frauenliga Frauenliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 St. Pölten W 7 7 0 0 21
2 Sturm Graz W 7 6 1 0 19
3 Austria Wien W 6 4 1 1 13
4 Rheindorf Altach 6 3 1 2 10
5 Salzburg W 8 3 1 4 10
6 LASK 8 2 2 4 8
7 First Vienna W 8 1 4 3 7
8 SK Rapid W 7 1 3 3 6
9 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz 8 1 1 6 4
10 Südburgenland W 7 0 2 5 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 St. Pölten W 7 25 2 +23 21
2 Sturm Graz W 7 20 4 +16 19
3 Austria Wien W 6 17 2 +15 13
4 Rheindorf Altach 6 12 12 0 10
5 First Vienna W 8 11 17 -6 7
6 LASK 8 9 14 -5 8
7 SK Rapid W 7 8 11 -3 6
8 Salzburg W 8 6 14 -8 10
9 Südburgenland W 7 5 23 -18 2
10 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz 8 4 18 -14 4
Frauenliga Austria. Frauenliga Predictions