Statistics / Football / Austria. Frauenliga / St. Pölten W vs Salzburg W

St. Pölten W vs Salzburg W Statistics & Analysis

St. Pölten W St. Pölten W
Aug 29, 2026 - 12:00
2 1.56
0 1.04
xG Accuracy: 67%
Salzburg W Salzburg W
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 St. Pölten W St. Pölten W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 01:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5129754

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result St. Pölten W win · St. Pölten W 2–0 Salzburg W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Frauenliga
  • Fixture: St. Pölten W vs Salzburg W
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 47.8% · Draw 28.5% · Away 23.7%
  • xG (showing): St. Pölten W 1.56 — Salzburg W 1.04 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Frauenliga Frauenliga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 St. Pölten W 7 7 0 0 21
2 Sturm Graz W 7 6 1 0 19
3 Austria Wien W 6 4 1 1 13
4 Rheindorf Altach 6 3 1 2 10
5 Salzburg W 8 3 1 4 10
6 LASK 8 2 2 4 8
7 First Vienna W 8 1 4 3 7
8 SK Rapid W 7 1 3 3 6
9 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz 8 1 1 6 4
10 Südburgenland W 7 0 2 5 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 St. Pölten W 7 25 2 +23 21
2 Sturm Graz W 7 20 4 +16 19
3 Austria Wien W 6 17 2 +15 13
4 Rheindorf Altach 6 12 12 0 10
5 First Vienna W 8 11 17 -6 7
6 LASK 8 9 14 -5 8
7 SK Rapid W 7 8 11 -3 6
8 Salzburg W 8 6 14 -8 10
9 Südburgenland W 7 5 23 -18 2
10 Kleinmünchen / BW Linz 8 4 18 -14 4
Frauenliga Austria. Frauenliga Predictions