Predictions / Football / Switzerland. 1. Liga Promotion / Amical Saint-Prex vs Cham

Prediction Audit: Amical Saint-Prex vs Cham Prediction, Odds & AI Betting Tips

Amical Saint-Prex Amical Saint-Prex
Nov 07, 2026 - 16:00
0 1.28
5 1.32
xG Accuracy: 26%
Cham Cham

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Prediction grade Not available

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Cham Cham ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-5 ✖ Incorrect

Post Match Insights

What worked

  • Expected goals projected a high-scoring match (ΣxG 2.60) — 5 goals materialised
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Prediction Timeline

How this prediction moved from forecast to full-time review.

  1. Nov 07, 2026 · 16:00 UTC Kickoff
  2. FT Full-time result Cham win · 0–5

Historical Snapshot

Frozen at kickoff — the model output as it stood before the match started.

Historical verdict: No prediction record
Pre-match metrics (historical context)
Prediction Reliability 57/100 · Moderate
  • Validation: Pending
Evidence ★★★★★
  • No strong statistical edge
  • Market has already priced much of the edge
  • Validation pending
Market Compatibility 100/100
Betting Confidence 59/100

Validation Report

Prediction Time: Nov 01, 2026 · 03:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-18865809

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Cham win · Amical Saint-Prex 0–5 Cham
Prediction No prediction record
Decision Grade Not assessed

Review FAQ

How accurate was the prediction?
This page grades directional markets (1X2, Over/Under 2.5, BTTS) against the full-time result. The prediction grade reflects how many of those tracked markets matched reality.
What does xG Accuracy measure?
xG Accuracy compares the model's pre-match expected-goals profile to the actual scoreline — not whether every market hit. A strong directional review can coexist with a moderate xG accuracy score.
Why wasn't the exact score predicted?
Correct-score outcomes are low-probability tails even when the model reads the match profile well. We highlight top score bins for context; missing the exact line does not invalidate a directional review.
Does this improve the AI record?
Each finished match is logged in our validation pipeline. Aggregated hit rates and CLV studies are published separately — this page is the per-match audit trail.

Predictions are for informational purposes only. Always gamble responsibly and within your limits. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. Liga Promotion
  • Fixture: Amical Saint-Prex vs Cham
  • Kickoff: 2026-11-07 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Amical Saint-Prex 1.28 — Cham 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Cautious / Wait

Outcome: —

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

November 15, 2026 (UTC)

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1. Liga Promotion 1. Liga Promotion — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FC Schaffhausen 15 11 2 2 35
2 Biel-Bienne 16 10 4 2 34
3 Bulle 16 10 3 3 33
4 Cham 16 10 3 3 33
5 Paradiso 16 8 4 4 28
6 Brühl 16 8 2 6 26
7 YF Juventus 16 8 1 7 25
8 Grand-Saconnex 16 8 0 8 24
9 Zürich II 16 6 4 6 22
10 Breitenrain 16 6 3 7 21
11 Basel II 16 6 2 8 20
12 Young Boys II 16 5 4 7 19
13 Amical Saint-Prex 16 6 1 9 19
14 Kreuzlingen 16 4 3 9 15
15 Bavois 15 4 2 9 14
16 Luzern II 15 4 2 9 14
17 Lugano II 16 4 1 11 13
18 Bellinzona 15 2 3 10 9
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Biel-Bienne 16 37 21 +16 34
2 FC Schaffhausen 15 36 17 +19 35
3 Bulle 16 35 22 +13 33
4 Paradiso 16 33 19 +14 28
5 Cham 16 33 20 +13 33
6 Young Boys II 16 33 39 -6 19
7 Grand-Saconnex 16 30 29 +1 24
8 Zürich II 16 30 29 +1 22
9 YF Juventus 16 27 24 +3 25
10 Basel II 16 27 31 -4 20
11 Luzern II 15 26 34 -8 14
12 Kreuzlingen 16 25 32 -7 15
13 Breitenrain 16 22 23 -1 21
14 Lugano II 16 22 40 -18 13
15 Brühl 16 21 19 +2 26
16 Bavois 15 19 22 -3 14
17 Amical Saint-Prex 16 18 36 -18 19
18 Bellinzona 15 12 29 -17 9
1. Liga Promotion Switzerland. 1. Liga Promotion Predictions