Statistics / Football / Switzerland. 1. Liga Promotion / YF Juventus vs Bellinzona

YF Juventus vs Bellinzona Statistics & Analysis

YF Juventus YF Juventus
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.32
0 1.28
xG Accuracy: 58%
Bellinzona Bellinzona
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 YF Juventus YF Juventus ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:58 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13227725

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result YF Juventus win · YF Juventus 2–0 Bellinzona
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: 1. Liga Promotion
  • Fixture: YF Juventus vs Bellinzona
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): YF Juventus 1.32 — Bellinzona 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 12, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
1. Liga Promotion 1. Liga Promotion — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Biel-Bienne 10 8 1 1 25
2 FC Schaffhausen 11 8 1 2 25
3 Cham 11 7 1 3 22
4 Bulle 11 6 3 2 21
5 Paradiso 11 6 2 3 20
6 YF Juventus 11 6 1 4 19
7 Grand-Saconnex 11 6 0 5 18
8 Amical Saint-Prex 11 5 1 5 16
9 Basel II 10 5 0 5 15
10 Zürich II 11 4 3 4 15
11 Breitenrain 11 4 3 4 15
12 Brühl 11 4 2 5 14
13 Kreuzlingen 10 3 3 4 12
14 Young Boys II 11 3 2 6 11
15 Lugano II 10 3 0 7 9
16 Bavois 11 2 2 7 8
17 Luzern II 11 2 1 8 7
18 Bellinzona 11 1 2 8 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FC Schaffhausen 11 29 13 +16 25
2 Bulle 11 24 16 +8 21
3 Biel-Bienne 10 23 10 +13 25
4 Paradiso 11 22 11 +11 20
5 Young Boys II 11 21 30 -9 11
6 Zürich II 11 20 20 0 15
7 Cham 11 19 14 +5 22
8 Grand-Saconnex 11 19 15 +4 18
9 Basel II 10 19 19 0 15
10 YF Juventus 11 16 14 +2 19
11 Amical Saint-Prex 11 16 22 -6 16
12 Breitenrain 11 15 17 -2 15
13 Lugano II 10 15 22 -7 9
14 Luzern II 11 15 27 -12 7
15 Kreuzlingen 10 13 13 0 12
16 Brühl 11 13 15 -2 14
17 Bavois 11 10 14 -4 8
18 Bellinzona 11 7 24 -17 5
1. Liga Promotion Switzerland. 1. Liga Promotion Predictions