Bulle vs Amical Saint-Prex Statistics & Analysis

Bulle

Sep 10, 2026 - 18:00

3 1.36

1 1.24

xG Accuracy: 60%

Amical Saint-Prex

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Bulle Bulle ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 3-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 04, 2026 · 01:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6850642

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Bulle win · Bulle 3–1 Amical Saint-Prex

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: 1. Liga Promotion
Fixture: Bulle vs Amical Saint-Prex
Kickoff: 2026-09-10 18:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 32.4%
xG (showing): Bulle 1.36 — Amical Saint-Prex 1.24 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 28, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

1. Liga Promotion — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Biel-Bienne	9	7	1	1	22
2	FC Schaffhausen	9	6	1	2	19
3	Cham	9	6	1	2	19
4	Grand-Saconnex	9	6	0	3	18
5	Bulle	9	5	2	2	17
6	Paradiso	9	5	1	3	16
7	YF Juventus	9	4	1	4	13
8	Amical Saint-Prex	9	4	1	4	13
9	Basel II	9	4	0	5	12
10	Brühl	9	3	2	4	11
11	Young Boys II	9	3	2	4	11
12	Zürich II	9	3	2	4	11
13	Breitenrain	8	3	1	4	10
14	Kreuzlingen	9	2	3	4	9
15	Lugano II	9	3	0	6	9
16	Bavois	9	2	2	5	8
17	Luzern II	9	2	1	6	7
18	Bellinzona	8	1	1	6	4

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Biel-Bienne	9	21	9	+12	22
2	Paradiso	9	19	9	+10	16
3	Grand-Saconnex	9	19	13	+6	18
4	Bulle	9	18	12	+6	17
5	Young Boys II	9	17	21	-4	11
6	Basel II	9	16	17	-1	12
7	FC Schaffhausen	9	15	10	+5	19
8	Lugano II	9	15	21	-6	9
9	Cham	9	14	9	+5	19
10	Zürich II	9	14	18	-4	11
11	YF Juventus	9	13	14	-1	13
12	Luzern II	9	13	16	-3	7
13	Amical Saint-Prex	9	13	20	-7	13
14	Brühl	9	12	12	0	11
15	Bavois	9	10	11	-1	8
16	Breitenrain	8	10	13	-3	10
17	Kreuzlingen	9	10	13	-3	9
18	Bellinzona	8	5	16	-11	4