Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Mattersburg SV 2020 Statistics & Analysis

Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf

Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00

4 1.38

0 1.22

xG Accuracy: 35%

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Mattersburg SV 2020

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12697510

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf win · Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 4–0 Mattersburg SV 2020

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

League: Regionalliga - Ost
Fixture: Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf vs Mattersburg SV 2020
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
xG (showing): Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf 1.38 — Mattersburg SV 2020 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 10, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

Regionalliga - Ost — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	10	7	1	2	22
2	Oberwart	10	7	0	3	21
3	Wiener SC	10	6	1	3	19
4	Scheiblingkirchen	10	5	3	2	18
5	Wiener Viktoria	10	5	2	3	17
6	Traiskirchen	10	5	2	3	17
7	Fach-Donaufeld	10	5	2	3	17
8	Krems / Rehberg	10	4	2	4	14
9	Parndorf	10	4	2	4	14
10	Mattersburg SV 2020	10	4	1	5	13
11	SV Horn	10	3	2	5	11
12	Donau	10	2	5	3	11
13	Leobendorf	10	3	2	5	11
14	Gloggnitz	10	3	2	5	11
15	Favoritner AC	10	3	1	6	10
16	Wienerberg	10	0	0	10	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Mannsdorf-Großenzersdorf	10	26	10	+16	22
2	Wiener SC	10	24	11	+13	19
3	Traiskirchen	10	23	20	+3	17
4	Oberwart	10	21	13	+8	21
5	Krems / Rehberg	10	17	15	+2	14
6	Scheiblingkirchen	10	17	17	0	18
7	Wiener Viktoria	10	15	9	+6	17
8	Parndorf	10	15	14	+1	14
9	Donau	10	15	18	-3	11
10	SV Horn	10	14	15	-1	11
11	Fach-Donaufeld	10	13	10	+3	17
12	Mattersburg SV 2020	10	12	13	-1	13
13	Gloggnitz	10	12	19	-7	11
14	Leobendorf	10	11	15	-4	11
15	Favoritner AC	10	7	13	-6	10
16	Wienerberg	10	6	36	-30	0