Statistics / Football / Austria. Regionalliga - West / SK St. Johann vs Fügen

SK St. Johann vs Fügen Statistics & Analysis

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SK St. Johann
Oct 03, 2026 - 12:30
5 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 34%
Fügen Fügen
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 SK St. Johann SK St. Johann ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 5-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:45 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11229428

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result SK St. Johann win · SK St. Johann 5–1 Fügen
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga - West
  • Fixture: SK St. Johann vs Fügen
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): SK St. Johann 1.32 — Fügen 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Regionalliga - West Regionalliga - West — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Hohenems 10 9 0 1 27
2 Imst 10 7 1 2 22
3 Schwaz 10 7 1 2 22
4 Kitzbühel 10 7 0 3 21
5 Dornbirn 10 6 2 2 20
6 SK St. Johann 10 5 3 2 18
7 Swarovski Tirol II 9 5 1 3 16
8 Röthis 10 4 3 3 15
9 Fügen 10 4 1 5 13
10 SVG Reichenau 10 2 3 5 9
11 Lochau 10 2 2 6 8
12 Kufstein 10 1 4 5 7
13 Lustenau 10 1 4 5 7
14 Lauterach 9 1 3 5 6
15 Rheindorf Altach II 10 1 3 6 6
16 Wolfurt 10 1 1 8 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Hohenems 10 27 9 +18 27
2 Dornbirn 10 23 10 +13 20
3 Kitzbühel 10 23 12 +11 21
4 Swarovski Tirol II 9 23 13 +10 16
5 Schwaz 10 23 16 +7 22
6 Fügen 10 20 26 -6 13
7 Röthis 10 19 18 +1 15
8 SK St. Johann 10 18 11 +7 18
9 Imst 10 17 7 +10 22
10 Rheindorf Altach II 10 15 25 -10 6
11 Lauterach 9 14 18 -4 6
12 Lochau 10 13 26 -13 8
13 Kufstein 10 12 17 -5 7
14 Wolfurt 10 12 29 -17 4
15 SVG Reichenau 10 10 18 -8 9
16 Lustenau 10 9 23 -14 7