Statistics / Football / Austria. Regionalliga - West / Kufstein vs Imst

Kufstein vs Imst Statistics & Analysis

Kufstein Kufstein
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.07
2 1.53
xG Accuracy: 86%
Imst Imst
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Imst Imst ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:35 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11242159

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Imst win · Kufstein 1–2 Imst
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Regionalliga - West
  • Fixture: Kufstein vs Imst
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 24.9% · Draw 28.7% · Away 46.3%
  • xG (showing): Kufstein 1.07 — Imst 1.53 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 53.0% · No 46.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.0% · No 46.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.2%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Regionalliga - West Regionalliga - West — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Hohenems 11 9 0 2 27
2 Imst 11 8 1 2 25
3 Schwaz 11 8 1 2 25
4 Dornbirn 11 7 2 2 23
5 Kitzbühel 11 7 0 4 21
6 Swarovski Tirol II 11 6 1 4 19
7 SK St. Johann 10 5 3 2 18
8 Röthis 10 4 3 3 15
9 Fügen 11 4 1 6 13
10 SVG Reichenau 11 3 3 5 12
11 Lochau 11 3 2 6 11
12 Kufstein 11 2 4 5 10
13 Lauterach 11 2 3 6 9
14 Lustenau 11 1 4 6 7
15 Rheindorf Altach II 11 1 3 7 6
16 Wolfurt 11 1 1 9 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Swarovski Tirol II 11 32 18 +14 19
2 Hohenems 11 28 11 +17 27
3 Schwaz 11 27 19 +8 25
4 Dornbirn 11 25 11 +14 23
5 Imst 11 24 9 +15 25
6 Kitzbühel 11 24 15 +9 21
7 Fügen 11 21 28 -7 13
8 Röthis 10 19 18 +1 15
9 Lauterach 11 19 26 -7 9
10 SK St. Johann 10 18 11 +7 18
11 Kufstein 11 16 17 -1 10
12 Lochau 11 15 27 -12 11
13 Rheindorf Altach II 11 15 29 -14 6
14 Wolfurt 11 14 33 -19 4
15 SVG Reichenau 11 13 19 -6 12
16 Lustenau 11 11 30 -19 7