Statistics / Football / Spain. Primera División Femenina / Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W

Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W Statistics & Analysis

Valencia W Valencia W
Oct 04, 2026 - 17:30
0 1.14
1 1.46
xG Accuracy: 64%
Real Sociedad W Real Sociedad W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Real Sociedad W Real Sociedad W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:30 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11686020

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Real Sociedad W win · Valencia W 0–1 Real Sociedad W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Primera División Femenina
  • Fixture: Valencia W vs Real Sociedad W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 17:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 27.9% · Draw 29.2% · Away 42.9%
  • xG (showing): Valencia W 1.14 — Real Sociedad W 1.46 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.9% · Probability edge: +5.9 pts · Est. EV: +7.7%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 53.8% · No 46.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 08, 2026 (UTC)

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Primera División Femenina Primera División Femenina — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Barcelona W 5 5 0 0 15
2 Real Madrid W 5 4 1 0 13
3 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 13
4 Athletic Club W 6 3 2 1 11
5 Eibar W 5 3 1 1 10
6 Atletico Madrid W 6 3 0 3 9
7 FC Levante Badalona 6 2 2 2 8
8 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 8
9 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7
10 Edf Logrono W 5 2 0 3 6
11 Granada 5 2 0 3 6
12 Deportivo Alavés 6 2 0 4 6
13 Deportivo de La Coruña W 6 1 2 3 5
14 Granad. Tenerife W 5 1 2 2 5
15 Real Sociedad W 5 0 2 3 2
16 Valencia W 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Barcelona W 5 21 2 +19 15
2 Real Madrid W 5 13 6 +7 13
3 Athletic Club W 6 11 8 +3 11
4 Madrid CFF W 6 11 9 +2 13
5 Atletico Madrid W 6 10 11 -1 9
6 Espanyol W 6 9 6 +3 8
7 FC Levante Badalona 6 9 8 +1 8
8 Sevilla W 6 7 10 -3 7
9 Real Sociedad W 5 6 11 -5 2
10 Deportivo de La Coruña W 6 5 6 -1 5
11 Granada 5 5 9 -4 6
12 Eibar W 5 4 4 0 10
13 Edf Logrono W 5 4 5 -1 6
14 Granad. Tenerife W 5 4 10 -6 5
15 Valencia W 5 4 12 -8 0
16 Deportivo Alavés 6 3 9 -6 6