Statistics / Football / Spain. Primera División Femenina / Granad. Tenerife W vs Edf Logrono W

Granad. Tenerife W vs Edf Logrono W Statistics & Analysis

Granad. Tenerife W Granad. Tenerife W
Oct 04, 2026 - 10:00
2 1.56
1 1.04
xG Accuracy: 88%
Edf Logrono W Edf Logrono W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Granad. Tenerife W Granad. Tenerife W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 00:59 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11660130

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Granad. Tenerife W win · Granad. Tenerife W 2–1 Edf Logrono W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Primera División Femenina
  • Fixture: Granad. Tenerife W vs Edf Logrono W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 10:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 47.8% · Draw 28.5% · Away 23.7%
  • xG (showing): Granad. Tenerife W 1.56 — Edf Logrono W 1.04 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.6% · No 47.4%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 04, 2026 (UTC)

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Primera División Femenina Primera División Femenina — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Barcelona W 5 5 0 0 15
2 Real Madrid W 5 4 1 0 13
3 Madrid CFF W 6 4 1 1 13
4 Athletic Club W 6 3 2 1 11
5 Eibar W 5 3 1 1 10
6 Atletico Madrid W 6 3 0 3 9
7 FC Levante Badalona 6 2 2 2 8
8 Espanyol W 6 2 2 2 8
9 Sevilla W 6 2 1 3 7
10 Edf Logrono W 5 2 0 3 6
11 Granada 5 2 0 3 6
12 Deportivo Alavés 6 2 0 4 6
13 Deportivo de La Coruña W 6 1 2 3 5
14 Granad. Tenerife W 5 1 2 2 5
15 Real Sociedad W 5 0 2 3 2
16 Valencia W 5 0 0 5 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Barcelona W 5 21 2 +19 15
2 Real Madrid W 5 13 6 +7 13
3 Athletic Club W 6 11 8 +3 11
4 Madrid CFF W 6 11 9 +2 13
5 Atletico Madrid W 6 10 11 -1 9
6 Espanyol W 6 9 6 +3 8
7 FC Levante Badalona 6 9 8 +1 8
8 Sevilla W 6 7 10 -3 7
9 Real Sociedad W 5 6 11 -5 2
10 Deportivo de La Coruña W 6 5 6 -1 5
11 Granada 5 5 9 -4 6
12 Eibar W 5 4 4 0 10
13 Edf Logrono W 5 4 5 -1 6
14 Granad. Tenerife W 5 4 10 -6 5
15 Valencia W 5 4 12 -8 0
16 Deportivo Alavés 6 3 9 -6 6