Statistics / Football / Spain. Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 / Tudelano vs Barcelona B

Tudelano vs Barcelona B Statistics & Analysis

Tudelano Tudelano
Oct 04, 2026 - 16:00
1 1.38
2 1.22
xG Accuracy: 73%
Barcelona B Barcelona B
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Tudelano Barcelona B ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 29, 2026 · 02:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11683025

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Barcelona B win · Tudelano 1–2 Barcelona B
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Segunda División RFEF - Group 2
  • Fixture: Tudelano vs Barcelona B
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-04 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Tudelano 1.38 — Barcelona B 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Barcelona B 6 5 1 0 16
2 Osasuna II 6 4 1 1 13
3 Ebro 6 4 1 1 13
4 Manresa 6 3 1 2 10
5 Olot 5 3 1 1 10
6 Espanyol II 4 3 0 1 9
7 Girona II 4 2 1 1 7
8 Tudelano 5 2 1 2 7
9 Terrassa 4 2 1 1 7
10 Utebo 6 1 4 1 7
11 Peña Sport 6 2 1 3 7
12 Barbastro 5 1 3 1 6
13 Reddis 5 2 0 3 6
14 UD Logroñés II 5 1 2 2 5
15 Náxara 5 1 1 3 4
16 Calamocha 6 1 0 5 3
17 SD Logroñés 6 0 2 4 2
18 Arnedo 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Barcelona B 6 13 1 +12 16
2 Espanyol II 4 13 3 +10 9
3 Manresa 6 11 5 +6 10
4 Olot 5 11 7 +4 10
5 Girona II 4 11 9 +2 7
6 Osasuna II 6 10 4 +6 13
7 Ebro 6 9 4 +5 13
8 Tudelano 5 7 6 +1 7
9 Peña Sport 6 7 9 -2 7
10 Utebo 6 5 5 0 7
11 Barbastro 5 5 5 0 6
12 UD Logroñés II 5 5 7 -2 5
13 SD Logroñés 6 4 12 -8 2
14 Reddis 5 3 7 -4 6
15 Calamocha 6 3 15 -12 3
16 Arnedo 6 3 16 -13 1
17 Terrassa 4 2 1 +1 7
18 Náxara 5 2 8 -6 4
Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Spain. Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Predictions