Statistics / Football / Spain. Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 / Llanera vs Marino de Luanco

Llanera vs Marino de Luanco Statistics & Analysis

Llanera Llanera
Oct 10, 2026 - 16:00
4 1.27
2 1.33
xG Accuracy: 39%
Marino de Luanco Marino de Luanco
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Marino de Luanco Llanera ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:53 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13243916

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Llanera win · Llanera 4–2 Marino de Luanco
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Segunda División RFEF - Group 1
  • Fixture: Llanera vs Marino de Luanco
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 16:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Llanera 1.27 — Marino de Luanco 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV on tracked lines at current best prices (same as the decision block: no default bet).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 17, 2026 (UTC)

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Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Bergantiños 6 4 2 0 14
2 Eibar II 6 4 1 1 13
3 Deportivo Alavés II 6 4 1 1 13
4 Sestao River 6 4 1 1 13
5 Portugalete 6 3 1 2 10
6 Real Oviedo II 6 3 1 2 10
7 Ourense CF 6 3 1 2 10
8 Gernika 6 2 3 1 9
9 Basconia 6 2 3 1 9
10 Amorebieta 6 2 1 3 7
11 Compostela 6 2 1 3 7
12 Llanera 6 2 1 3 7
13 Atlético Astorga 6 2 0 4 6
14 Marino de Luanco 6 2 0 4 6
15 Coruxo 6 1 2 3 5
16 Gimnástica Torrelavega 6 1 2 3 5
17 Arosa 6 0 4 2 4
18 Racing Santander II 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Bergantiños 6 14 7 +7 14
2 Gernika 6 13 6 +7 9
3 Deportivo Alavés II 6 13 7 +6 13
4 Eibar II 6 11 4 +7 13
5 Basconia 6 10 9 +1 9
6 Real Oviedo II 6 10 11 -1 10
7 Atlético Astorga 6 9 7 +2 6
8 Llanera 6 9 12 -3 7
9 Marino de Luanco 6 8 12 -4 6
10 Arosa 6 8 15 -7 4
11 Sestao River 6 7 3 +4 13
12 Portugalete 6 7 7 0 10
13 Amorebieta 6 6 6 0 7
14 Coruxo 6 6 8 -2 5
15 Gimnástica Torrelavega 6 6 10 -4 5
16 Ourense CF 6 5 7 -2 10
17 Compostela 6 4 6 -2 7
18 Racing Santander II 6 4 13 -9 1
Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Spain. Segunda División RFEF - Group 1 Predictions