Statistics / Football / Spain. Primera División RFEF - Group 2 / Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal II

Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal II Statistics & Analysis

Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda
Aug 29, 2026 - 17:15
1 1.21
2 1.39
xG Accuracy: 80%
Villarreal II Villarreal II
Premium betting site stake: New users can use the promo code FHn2uDc1 to receive $100 cash.

Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Villarreal II Villarreal II ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 04:38 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5158497

Closing Odds 2.83
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Villarreal II win · Rayo Majadahonda 1–2 Villarreal II
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Rayo Majadahonda (1X2) 31.0 30.1 +0.9
Draw (1X2) 29.5 29.6 -0.1
Villarreal II (1X2) 39.5 40.2 -0.7

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: SBO

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Rayo Majadahonda (1X2) 2.83 2.83 0.0
Draw (1X2) 2.88 2.88 0.0
Villarreal II (1X2) 2.12 2.12 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Primera División RFEF - Group 2
  • Fixture: Rayo Majadahonda vs Villarreal II
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 17:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 31.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 39.5%
  • xG (showing): Rayo Majadahonda 1.21 — Villarreal II 1.39 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Primary / headline line (Betting Primary Pick when shown): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 44.1% · Probability edge: +4.1 pts · Est. EV: +6.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

Get Premium Predictions for Rayo Majadahonda & Villarreal II!

Unlock in-depth analysis, exclusive betting tips, and match forecasts with our premium subscription service.

Subscribe Now
Back to Statistics
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Primera División RFEF - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Villarreal II 5 4 1 0 13
2 Zaragoza 5 4 0 1 12
3 Real Jaén 5 3 1 1 10
4 Alcorcon 5 2 3 0 9
5 Real Murcia 4 3 0 1 9
6 Hércules 5 3 0 2 9
7 Atlético Madrid II 5 2 2 1 8
8 Antequera 5 2 2 1 8
9 Gimnastic 5 2 1 2 7
10 Sant Andreu 5 2 1 2 7
11 Ibiza 5 2 0 3 6
12 Huesca 5 1 3 1 6
13 FC Cartagena 4 1 2 1 5
14 Real Madrid II 5 1 2 2 5
15 Águilas 5 1 2 2 5
16 Rayo Majadahonda 5 1 1 3 4
17 Algeciras 5 1 1 3 4
18 Europa Fc 5 1 1 3 4
19 Teruel 5 0 2 3 2
20 Juventud Torremolinos 5 0 1 4 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Villarreal II 5 12 5 +7 13
2 Atlético Madrid II 5 9 5 +4 8
3 Alcorcon 5 8 4 +4 9
4 Zaragoza 5 8 5 +3 12
5 Real Jaén 5 8 5 +3 10
6 Real Murcia 4 8 6 +2 9
7 Antequera 5 8 6 +2 8
8 Gimnastic 5 7 7 0 7
9 Ibiza 5 7 8 -1 6
10 Algeciras 5 7 11 -4 4
11 Juventud Torremolinos 5 6 11 -5 1
12 Hércules 5 5 5 0 9
13 Sant Andreu 5 5 5 0 7
14 Rayo Majadahonda 5 5 6 -1 4
15 FC Cartagena 4 4 3 +1 5
16 Real Madrid II 5 4 4 0 5
17 Huesca 5 4 6 -2 6
18 Águilas 5 4 6 -2 5
19 Europa Fc 5 3 7 -4 4
20 Teruel 5 1 8 -7 2
Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Spain. Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Predictions