Statistics / Football / Spain. Segunda División / AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell

AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell Statistics & Analysis

AD Ceuta FC AD Ceuta FC
Oct 10, 2026 - 14:15
1 1.52
2 1.45
xG Accuracy: 74%
Sabadell Sabadell
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 AD Ceuta FC Sabadell ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 1-0, 0-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 03:18 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13233879

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Sabadell win · AD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Segunda División
  • Fixture: AD Ceuta FC vs Sabadell
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 14:15:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.6% · Draw 27.8% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): AD Ceuta FC 1.52 — Sabadell 1.45 (total xG ≈ 2.97)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 57.0% · Implied: 39.9% · Probability edge: +17.1 pts · Est. EV: +49.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Segunda División Segunda División — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Eibar 8 7 0 1 21
2 Castellón 8 6 2 0 20
3 Almeria 8 6 0 2 18
4 Sabadell 9 4 4 1 16
5 Girona 8 4 2 2 14
6 Mallorca 8 4 2 2 14
7 Burgos 8 4 2 2 14
8 Sporting Gijon 8 4 1 3 13
9 Granada CF 8 3 2 3 11
10 Oviedo 8 3 2 3 11
11 Celta de Vigo II 9 3 2 4 11
12 Las Palmas 8 3 2 3 11
13 Eldense 9 3 2 4 11
14 Tenerife 8 3 2 3 11
15 Leganes 8 3 2 3 11
16 Valladolid 8 2 3 3 9
17 Cordoba 9 3 0 6 9
18 Real Sociedad II 9 2 2 5 8
19 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 7
20 FC Andorra 8 2 1 5 7
21 AD Ceuta FC 9 1 2 6 5
22 Albacete 8 0 1 7 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Eibar 8 18 7 +11 21
2 Castellón 8 15 3 +12 20
3 Girona 8 14 8 +6 14
4 Celta de Vigo II 9 14 15 -1 11
5 Cordoba 9 14 20 -6 9
6 Almeria 8 13 5 +8 18
7 Granada CF 8 13 13 0 11
8 Burgos 8 12 9 +3 14
9 Las Palmas 8 12 13 -1 11
10 FC Andorra 8 12 15 -3 7
11 Real Sociedad II 9 12 17 -5 8
12 Cadiz 8 11 10 +1 7
13 Sabadell 9 10 7 +3 16
14 Eldense 9 10 11 -1 11
15 Tenerife 8 10 12 -2 11
16 Mallorca 8 8 3 +5 14
17 Sporting Gijon 8 8 8 0 13
18 Oviedo 8 8 8 0 11
19 Valladolid 8 8 11 -3 9
20 AD Ceuta FC 9 8 20 -12 5
21 Leganes 8 6 11 -5 11
22 Albacete 8 5 15 -10 1
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Eldense 9 2.9 1.4 +1.5 11
2 Cadiz 8 1.6 0.6 +1.0 7
3 Sabadell 9 1.4 0.9 +0.5 16
4 Real Sociedad II 9 1.9 2.0 -0.1 8
5 AD Ceuta FC 9 0.9 1.4 -0.5 5
6 Celta de Vigo II 9 2.6 3.5 -0.9 11
7 Cordoba 9 1.4 2.9 -1.5 9
8 Eibar 8 — — — 21
9 Castellón 8 — — — 20
10 Almeria 8 — — — 18
11 Girona 8 — — — 14
12 Mallorca 8 — — — 14
13 Burgos 8 — — — 14
14 Sporting Gijon 8 — — — 13
15 Granada CF 8 — — — 11
16 Oviedo 8 — — — 11
17 Las Palmas 8 — — — 11
18 Tenerife 8 — — — 11
19 Leganes 8 — — — 11
20 Valladolid 8 — — — 9
21 FC Andorra 8 — — — 7
22 Albacete 8 — — — 1
Segunda División Spain. Segunda División Predictions