Pyeongchang United vs Jincheon Statistics & Analysis

Pyeongchang United

Aug 22, 2026 - 08:00

0 1.32

1 1.28

xG Accuracy: 64%

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Jincheon

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Pyeongchang United Jincheon ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 00:57 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4210543

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Jincheon win · Pyeongchang United 0–1 Jincheon

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: K4 League
Fixture: Pyeongchang United vs Jincheon
Kickoff: 2026-08-22 08:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
xG (showing): Pyeongchang United 1.32 — Jincheon 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

K4 League — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Jinju Citizen	20	16	2	2	50
2	Jincheon	20	11	5	4	38
3	Namyangju	21	10	6	5	36
4	Jungnang Chorus Mustang	20	10	4	6	34
5	Geumsan Insam	21	8	8	5	32
6	Jecheon Citizen	21	7	7	7	28
7	Geoje Citizen	18	8	3	7	27
8	Pyeongchang United	20	8	2	10	26
9	Gijang United	20	8	2	10	26
10	Sejong SA	20	8	2	10	26
11	Haman	19	6	2	11	20
12	Seosan Pioneer	20	4	0	16	12
13	Pyeongtaek Citizen	20	2	5	13	11

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Jinju Citizen	20	50	16	+34	50
2	Jincheon	20	38	20	+18	38
3	Jungnang Chorus Mustang	20	38	23	+15	34
4	Geumsan Insam	21	33	25	+8	32
5	Geoje Citizen	18	33	26	+7	27
6	Namyangju	21	30	26	+4	36
7	Sejong SA	20	29	40	-11	26
8	Gijang United	20	28	36	-8	26
9	Pyeongchang United	20	27	31	-4	26
10	Jecheon Citizen	21	26	31	-5	28
11	Haman	19	22	32	-10	20
12	Seosan Pioneer	20	22	46	-24	12
13	Pyeongtaek Citizen	20	20	44	-24	11