Statistics / Football / Poland. III Liga - Group 2 / Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard

Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard Statistics & Analysis

Polonia Środa Polonia Środa
Oct 09, 2026 - 17:00
2 1.34
0 1.26
xG Accuracy: 59%
Kluczevia Stargard Kluczevia Stargard
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Polonia Środa Polonia Środa ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 02:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12697151

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Polonia Środa win · Polonia Środa 2–0 Kluczevia Stargard
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: III Liga - Group 2
  • Fixture: Polonia Środa vs Kluczevia Stargard
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 17:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 37.0% · Draw 29.6% · Away 33.4%
  • xG (showing): Polonia Środa 1.34 — Kluczevia Stargard 1.26 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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III Liga - Group 2 III Liga - Group 2 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Polonia Środa 12 9 3 0 30
2 Luzino 12 9 1 2 28
3 Wda Świecie 12 6 3 3 21
4 Kluczevia Stargard 11 6 1 4 19
5 Stargard Szczeciński 12 5 3 4 18
6 Lech Poznań II 11 5 3 3 18
7 Noteć Czarnków 12 5 2 5 17
8 Kalisz 12 4 5 3 17
9 Bałtyk Koszalin 12 4 4 4 16
10 Unia Swarzędz 12 4 2 6 14
11 Gedania Gdansk 12 3 5 4 14
12 Flota Świnoujście 12 4 2 6 14
13 Grom Nowy Staw 12 4 1 7 13
14 Elana Toruń 12 3 4 5 13
15 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 2 6 4 12
16 Victoria Września 12 2 5 5 11
17 Kotwica Kórnik 12 3 2 7 11
18 Lipno Stęszew 12 2 2 8 8
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Polonia Środa 12 35 16 +19 30
2 Luzino 12 34 13 +21 28
3 Stargard Szczeciński 12 30 23 +7 18
4 Grom Nowy Staw 12 28 29 -1 13
5 Gedania Gdansk 12 26 26 0 14
6 Lech Poznań II 11 22 21 +1 18
7 Unia Swarzędz 12 21 20 +1 14
8 Noteć Czarnków 12 19 16 +3 17
9 Wda Świecie 12 19 18 +1 21
10 Kluczevia Stargard 11 19 18 +1 19
11 Chemik Bydgoszcz 12 19 24 -5 12
12 Kotwica Kórnik 12 19 33 -14 11
13 Kalisz 12 18 19 -1 17
14 Elana Toruń 12 17 22 -5 13
15 Bałtyk Koszalin 12 16 16 0 16
16 Flota Świnoujście 12 15 21 -6 14
17 Lipno Stęszew 12 15 26 -11 8
18 Victoria Września 12 12 23 -11 11
III Liga - Group 2 Poland. III Liga - Group 2 Predictions