Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów Statistics & Analysis

Górnik Polkowice

Oct 09, 2026 - 13:30

4 1.39

1 1.21

xG Accuracy: 46%

Stilon Gorzów

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Górnik Polkowice Górnik Polkowice ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 03, 2026 · 01:29 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-12687877

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Górnik Polkowice win · Górnik Polkowice 4–1 Stilon Gorzów

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: III Liga - Group 3
Fixture: Górnik Polkowice vs Stilon Gorzów
Kickoff: 2026-10-09 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 39.5% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.0%
xG (showing): Górnik Polkowice 1.39 — Stilon Gorzów 1.21 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

III Liga - Group 3 — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Sparta Katowice	11	7	3	1	24
2	Zagłębie Lubin II	11	6	5	0	23
3	Odra Bytom Odrzański	11	7	2	2	23
4	Barycz Sułów	11	6	2	3	20
5	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	10	6	1	3	19
6	Górnik Polkowice	12	5	3	4	18
7	ROW Rybnik	11	5	2	4	17
8	Stilon Gorzów	12	4	4	4	16
9	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	11	4	3	4	15
10	Miedź Legnica II	11	4	2	5	14
11	Warta Gorzów	11	3	5	3	14
12	Kluczbork	10	4	0	6	12
13	Stal Brzeg	11	3	2	6	11
14	Goczałkowice Zdrój	11	3	2	6	11
15	Ślęza Wrocław	11	3	1	7	10
16	Rakow II	9	2	3	4	9
17	Polonia Nysa	11	2	2	7	8
18	Carina Gubin	11	2	2	7	8

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Miedź Legnica II	11	25	21	+4	14
2	Zagłębie Lubin II	11	23	13	+10	23
3	ROW Rybnik	11	23	18	+5	17
4	Górnik Polkowice	12	23	19	+4	18
5	Stilon Gorzów	12	20	19	+1	16
6	Sparta Katowice	11	19	7	+12	24
7	Barycz Sułów	11	18	13	+5	20
8	Stal Brzeg	11	18	17	+1	11
9	Ślęza Wrocław	11	17	26	-9	10
10	Zaglebie Sosnowiec	10	15	9	+6	19
11	Odra Bytom Odrzański	11	12	5	+7	23
12	Karkonosze Jelenia Góra	11	12	9	+3	15
13	Rakow II	9	12	17	-5	9
14	Polonia Nysa	11	12	24	-12	8
15	Goczałkowice Zdrój	11	11	16	-5	11
16	Warta Gorzów	11	11	17	-6	14
17	Kluczbork	10	10	17	-7	12
18	Carina Gubin	11	8	22	-14	8