Statistics / Football / Poland. III Liga - Group 3 / Ślęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra

Ślęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Statistics & Analysis

Ślęza Wrocław Ślęza Wrocław
Oct 03, 2026 - 13:00
2 1.28
0 1.32
xG Accuracy: 57%
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra Ślęza Wrocław ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:56 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11232183

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ślęza Wrocław win · Ślęza Wrocław 2–0 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: III Liga - Group 3
  • Fixture: Ślęza Wrocław vs Karkonosze Jelenia Góra
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 13:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 34.2% · Draw 29.7% · Away 36.1%
  • xG (showing): Ślęza Wrocław 1.28 — Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 1.32 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 42.2% · Probability edge: +9.6 pts · Est. EV: +16.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 07, 2026 (UTC)

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III Liga - Group 3 III Liga - Group 3 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Sparta Katowice 10 7 2 1 23
2 Zagłębie Lubin II 11 6 5 0 23
3 Odra Bytom Odrzański 10 7 2 1 23
4 Barycz Sułów 10 6 2 2 20
5 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 9 5 1 3 16
6 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 10 4 3 3 15
7 Górnik Polkowice 11 4 3 4 15
8 Miedź Legnica II 11 4 2 5 14
9 ROW Rybnik 10 4 2 4 14
10 Stilon Gorzów 10 3 4 3 13
11 Warta Gorzów 10 3 4 3 13
12 Kluczbork 10 4 0 6 12
13 Stal Brzeg 10 3 2 5 11
14 Goczałkowice Zdrój 10 3 2 5 11
15 Rakow II 9 2 3 4 9
16 Polonia Nysa 11 2 2 7 8
17 Ślęza Wrocław 10 2 1 7 7
18 Carina Gubin 10 1 2 7 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Miedź Legnica II 11 25 21 +4 14
2 Zagłębie Lubin II 11 23 13 +10 23
3 ROW Rybnik 10 22 18 +4 14
4 Górnik Polkowice 11 19 18 +1 15
5 Sparta Katowice 10 18 6 +12 23
6 Stal Brzeg 10 18 16 +2 11
7 Barycz Sułów 10 17 11 +6 20
8 Stilon Gorzów 10 17 14 +3 13
9 Ślęza Wrocław 10 15 26 -11 7
10 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 9 14 9 +5 16
11 Odra Bytom Odrzański 10 12 4 +8 23
12 Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 10 12 7 +5 15
13 Rakow II 9 12 17 -5 9
14 Polonia Nysa 11 12 24 -12 8
15 Goczałkowice Zdrój 10 11 15 -4 11
16 Warta Gorzów 10 10 16 -6 13
17 Kluczbork 10 10 17 -7 12
18 Carina Gubin 10 7 22 -15 5
III Liga - Group 3 Poland. III Liga - Group 3 Predictions