Statistics / Football / Poland. III Liga - Group 4 / Naprzód vs Sokół Kolb.

Naprzód vs Sokół Kolb. Statistics & Analysis

Naprzód Naprzód
Oct 11, 2026 - 12:00
1 1.27
0 1.33
xG Accuracy: 64%
Sokół Kolb. Sokół Kolb.
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Sokół Kolb. Naprzód ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13198257

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Naprzód win · Naprzód 1–0 Sokół Kolb.
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: III Liga - Group 4
  • Fixture: Naprzód vs Sokół Kolb.
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-11 12:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 33.8% · Draw 29.6% · Away 36.6%
  • xG (showing): Naprzód 1.27 — Sokół Kolb. 1.33 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 43.4% · Probability edge: +8.4 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
III Liga - Group 4 III Liga - Group 4 — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Chełmianka Chełm 11 8 3 0 27
2 KSZO 1929 12 6 5 1 23
3 Wisłoka Dębica 11 7 1 3 22
4 Wiślanie Jaśkowice 12 6 2 4 20
5 Naprzód 11 6 2 3 20
6 Czarni Połaniec 11 6 2 3 20
7 Jarosław 12 5 2 5 17
8 Wisła Kraków II 12 4 4 4 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 14
10 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 14
11 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 14
13 Sokół Kolb. 11 2 7 2 13
14 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 12
15 Podlasie Biała Podlaska 12 3 3 6 12
16 Star Starachowice 11 2 5 4 11
17 Moravia Morawica 11 2 2 7 8
18 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 12 2 2 8 8
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Jarosław 12 28 22 +6 17
2 Naprzód 11 27 21 +6 20
3 Korona Kielce II 12 27 27 0 14
4 KSZO 1929 12 21 9 +12 23
5 Hetman Zamosc 11 20 20 0 14
6 Wiślanie Jaśkowice 12 19 12 +7 20
7 Chełmianka Chełm 11 18 5 +13 27
8 Czarni Połaniec 11 18 16 +2 20
9 Busko-Zdroj 12 17 26 -9 14
10 Wisłoka Dębica 11 16 13 +3 22
11 Wisła Kraków II 12 15 17 -2 16
12 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 15 19 -4 14
13 Star Starachowice 11 13 17 -4 11
14 Moravia Morawica 11 13 22 -9 8
15 Sokół Kolb. 11 12 12 0 13
16 Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów 12 12 22 -10 8
17 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 11 15 -4 12
18 Podlasie Biała Podlaska 12 10 17 -7 12
III Liga - Group 4 Poland. III Liga - Group 4 Predictions