Statistics / Football / Austria. 2. Liga / WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz

WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz Statistics & Analysis

WSPG Wels WSPG Wels
Oct 10, 2026 - 13:30
1 1.42
0 1.18
xG Accuracy: 64%
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 WSPG Wels WSPG Wels ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 0-1, 2-0 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 02:28 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13217843

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result WSPG Wels win · WSPG Wels 1–0 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: 2. Liga
  • Fixture: WSPG Wels vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 13:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.0% · Draw 29.4% · Away 29.6%
  • xG (showing): WSPG Wels 1.42 — Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 1.18 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.0% · Probability edge: +7.8 pts · Est. EV: +12.9%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.1% · No 45.9%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
2. Liga 2. Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 FC BW Linz 7 6 0 1 18
2 First Vienna 7 5 1 1 16
3 Floridsdorfer AC 7 4 1 2 13
4 SKU Amstetten 7 3 3 1 12
5 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 4 0 3 12
6 Wacker Innsbruck 7 3 2 2 11
7 Austria Salzburg 7 3 1 3 10
8 FC Liefering 7 3 1 3 10
9 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 7 3 1 3 10
10 SKN ST. Polten 7 3 0 4 9
11 Admira Wacker 7 3 0 4 9
12 Voitsberg 7 2 3 2 9
13 Sturm Graz II 7 2 2 3 8
14 Rapid Wien II 7 2 0 5 6
15 WSPG Wels 7 1 1 5 4
16 SV Kapfenberg 7 1 0 6 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 FC BW Linz 7 20 4 +16 18
2 Sturm Graz II 7 15 18 -3 8
3 First Vienna 7 14 7 +7 16
4 SKU Amstetten 7 14 11 +3 12
5 Austria Salzburg 7 14 12 +2 10
6 FC Liefering 7 14 15 -1 10
7 Floridsdorfer AC 7 13 10 +3 13
8 Austria Vienna (Am) 7 13 11 +2 12
9 Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz 7 11 12 -1 10
10 Wacker Innsbruck 7 10 8 +2 11
11 Voitsberg 7 10 12 -2 9
12 SV Kapfenberg 7 9 17 -8 3
13 WSPG Wels 7 8 17 -9 4
14 Admira Wacker 7 7 8 -1 9
15 Rapid Wien II 7 7 17 -10 6
16 SKN ST. Polten 7 6 6 0 9
2. Liga Austria. 2. Liga Predictions