Statistics / Football / Brazil. Brasileiro U20 B / Ceará U20 vs Atlético Mineiro U20

Ceará U20 vs Atlético Mineiro U20 Statistics & Analysis

Ceará U20 Ceará U20
Jul 01, 2026 - 23:00
2 1.38
1 1.22
xG Accuracy: 79%
Atlético Mineiro U20 Atlético Mineiro U20
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Ceará U20 Ceará U20 ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 04, 2026 · 17:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2995436

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Ceará U20 win · Ceará U20 2–1 Atlético Mineiro U20
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Brasileiro U20 B
  • Fixture: Ceará U20 vs Atlético Mineiro U20
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-01 23:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 39.0% · Draw 29.5% · Away 31.5%
  • xG (showing): Ceará U20 1.38 — Atlético Mineiro U20 1.22 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Brasileiro U20 B Brasileiro U20 B — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Ceará U20 7 6 1 0 19
2 CRB U20 7 4 2 1 14
3 Goiás U20 7 4 1 2 13
4 Atlético Mineiro U20 7 3 2 2 13
5 Novorizontino U20 7 3 1 3 10
6 Mirassol U20 7 2 1 4 7
7 Chapecoense U20 7 1 2 4 5
8 Brusque U20 7 0 0 7 0
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Ceará U20 7 15 4 +11 19
2 Goiás U20 7 12 6 +6 13
3 Atlético Mineiro U20 7 10 5 +5 13
4 CRB U20 7 9 6 +3 14
5 Novorizontino U20 7 9 9 0 10
6 Mirassol U20 7 8 14 -6 7
7 Chapecoense U20 7 5 10 -5 5
8 Brusque U20 7 5 19 -14 0