Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita Statistics & Analysis

Roasso Kumamoto

Sep 02, 2026 - 10:00

2 1.37

0 1.23

xG Accuracy: 60%

Oita Trinita

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Roasso Kumamoto Roasso Kumamoto ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 27, 2026 · 01:44 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5619572

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Roasso Kumamoto win · Roasso Kumamoto 2–0 Oita Trinita

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: J-League Cup
Fixture: Roasso Kumamoto vs Oita Trinita
Kickoff: 2026-09-02 10:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 38.5% · Draw 29.6% · Away 31.9%
xG (showing): Roasso Kumamoto 1.37 — Oita Trinita 1.23 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): BTTS Yes
Model: 54.4% · Implied: 47.6% · Probability edge: +6.8 pts · Est. EV: +8.8%
BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 01, 2026 (UTC)

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