Statistics / Football / Chile. Copa De La Liga / Nublense vs O'Higgins

Nublense vs O'Higgins Statistics & Analysis

Nublense Nublense
Jul 09, 2026 - 23:00
2 1.32
1 1.28
xG Accuracy: 77%
O'Higgins O'Higgins
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Nublense Nublense ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 0-1, 2-1, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 24, 2026 · 01:54 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1530041

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Nublense win · Nublense 2–1 O'Higgins
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Copa De La Liga
  • Fixture: Nublense vs O'Higgins
  • Kickoff: 2026-07-09 23:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 36.1% · Draw 29.7% · Away 34.2%
  • xG (showing): Nublense 1.32 — O'Higgins 1.28 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.2% · Implied: 41.9% · Probability edge: +6.3 pts · Est. EV: +10.4%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Copa De La Liga Copa De La Liga — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 4 2 0 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 8
4 Concepción 6 0 1 5 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Coquimbo Unido 6 9 5 +4 14
2 Colo Colo 6 8 5 +3 10
3 Huachipato 6 6 6 0 8
4 Concepción 6 6 13 -7 1
Copa De La Liga Chile. Copa De La Liga Predictions