Statistics / Football / Slovakia. I Liga - Women / Dukla Banská Bystrica W vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W

Dukla Banská Bystrica W vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W Statistics & Analysis

Dukla Banská Bystrica W Dukla Banská Bystrica W
Oct 03, 2026 - 11:00
1 1.06
5 1.54
xG Accuracy: 38%
⚽
Z. Moravce-Vrable W
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (6 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Z. Moravce-Vrable W Z. Moravce-Vrable W ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 1-5 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 01:13 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11221467

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Z. Moravce-Vrable W win · Dukla Banská Bystrica W 1–5 Z. Moravce-Vrable W
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: I Liga - Women
  • Fixture: Dukla Banská Bystrica W vs Z. Moravce-Vrable W
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 11:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 24.6% · Draw 28.7% · Away 46.8%
  • xG (showing): Dukla Banská Bystrica W 1.06 — Z. Moravce-Vrable W 1.54 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 11, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
I Liga - Women I Liga - Women — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Spartak Myjava W 7 7 0 0 21
2 Slovan Bratislava W 8 7 0 1 21
3 Z. Moravce-Vrable W 8 5 0 3 15
4 Trenčín W 7 4 1 2 13
5 Tatran Prešov W 8 4 1 3 13
6 Spartak Trnava W 8 3 1 4 10
7 Komárno W 8 2 2 4 8
8 Ružomberok W 8 2 0 6 6
9 Dukla Banská Bystrica W 8 1 1 6 4
10 Petržalka W 8 1 0 7 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Spartak Myjava W 7 52 4 +48 21
2 Slovan Bratislava W 8 41 7 +34 21
3 Trenčín W 7 23 15 +8 13
4 Z. Moravce-Vrable W 8 22 16 +6 15
5 Tatran Prešov W 8 15 15 0 13
6 Ružomberok W 8 12 27 -15 6
7 Petržalka W 8 10 40 -30 3
8 Komárno W 8 9 25 -16 8
9 Dukla Banská Bystrica W 8 9 32 -23 4
10 Spartak Trnava W 8 8 20 -12 10