Spartak Myjava W vs Komárno W Statistics & Analysis

Spartak Myjava W

Sep 19, 2026 - 16:00

8 1.73

0 0.87

xG Accuracy: 14%

Komárno W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (8 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
1X2 Spartak Myjava W Spartak Myjava W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 8-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 14, 2026 · 03:03 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-8701916

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Spartak Myjava W win · Spartak Myjava W 8–0 Komárno W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: I Liga - Women
Fixture: Spartak Myjava W vs Komárno W
Kickoff: 2026-09-19 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 56.2% · Draw 26.5% · Away 17.2%
xG (showing): Spartak Myjava W 1.73 — Komárno W 0.87 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 49.3% · No 50.7%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 49.3% · No 50.7%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.8%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 27, 2026 (UTC)

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I Liga - Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	6	6	0	0	18
2	Slovan Bratislava W	6	5	0	1	15
3	Trenčín W	6	4	1	1	13
4	Spartak Trnava W	6	3	1	2	10
5	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	6	3	0	3	9
6	Tatran Prešov W	6	3	0	3	9
7	Komárno W	6	2	1	3	7
8	Ružomberok W	6	1	0	5	3
9	Petržalka W	6	1	0	5	3
10	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	6	0	1	5	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	6	46	4	+42	18
2	Slovan Bratislava W	6	28	7	+21	15
3	Trenčín W	6	23	7	+16	13
4	Tatran Prešov W	6	13	14	-1	9
5	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	6	12	12	0	9
6	Komárno W	6	9	20	-11	7
7	Petržalka W	6	7	31	-24	3
8	Ružomberok W	6	6	23	-17	3
9	Spartak Trnava W	6	5	9	-4	10
10	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	6	4	26	-22	1