Spartak Myjava W vs Petržalka W Statistics & Analysis

Spartak Myjava W

Sep 05, 2026 - 16:00

11 1.72

1 0.88

xG Accuracy: 8%

Petržalka W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (12 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Spartak Myjava W Spartak Myjava W ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-0, 1-1, 2-0, 2-1, 0-0 11-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 30, 2026 · 03:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-6161027

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Spartak Myjava W win · Spartak Myjava W 11–1 Petržalka W

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: I Liga - Women
Fixture: Spartak Myjava W vs Petržalka W
Kickoff: 2026-09-05 16:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 55.8% · Draw 26.6% · Away 17.6%
xG (showing): Spartak Myjava W 1.72 — Petržalka W 0.88 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS No (Yes 49.5% · No 50.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS No
BTTS (model): Yes 49.5% · No 50.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-0 (12.8%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 25, 2026 (UTC)

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I Liga - Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	5	5	0	0	15
2	Trenčín W	5	4	1	0	13
3	Slovan Bratislava W	5	4	0	1	12
4	Komárno W	5	2	1	2	7
5	Spartak Trnava W	5	2	1	2	7
6	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	5	2	0	3	6
7	Tatran Prešov W	5	2	0	3	6
8	Ružomberok W	5	1	0	4	3
9	Petržalka W	5	1	0	4	3
10	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	5	0	1	4	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	5	38	4	+34	15
2	Trenčín W	5	22	5	+17	13
3	Slovan Bratislava W	5	21	7	+14	12
4	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	5	10	11	-1	6
5	Komárno W	5	9	12	-3	7
6	Petržalka W	5	7	24	-17	3
7	Tatran Prešov W	5	6	14	-8	6
8	Ružomberok W	5	6	16	-10	3
9	Spartak Trnava W	5	4	9	-5	7
10	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	5	4	25	-21	1