Komárno W vs Trenčín W Statistics & Analysis

Komárno W

Aug 29, 2026 - 09:30

1 1.30

2 1.30

xG Accuracy: 76%

Trenčín W

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Komárno W Trenčín W ✖ Incorrect
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-2 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 01:17 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5122385

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Trenčín W win · Komárno W 1–2 Trenčín W

Prediction ✖ Missed

Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: I Liga - Women
Fixture: Komárno W vs Trenčín W
Kickoff: 2026-08-29 09:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
xG (showing): Komárno W 1.3 — Trenčín W 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics

I Liga - Women — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	L	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	3	3	0	9
2	Trenčín W	3	3	0	9
3	Slovan Bratislava W	3	2	1	6
4	Komárno W	3	2	1	6
5	Spartak Trnava W	3	2	1	6
6	Petržalka W	3	1	2	3
7	Ružomberok W	3	1	2	3
8	Tatran Prešov W	3	1	2	3
9	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	3	0	3	0
10	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	3	0	3	0

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Spartak Myjava W	3	23	2	+21	9
2	Trenčín W	3	15	2	+13	9
3	Slovan Bratislava W	3	10	5	+5	6
4	Komárno W	3	6	5	+1	6
5	Petržalka W	3	5	7	-2	3
6	Ružomberok W	3	4	9	-5	3
7	Tatran Prešov W	3	3	9	-6	3
8	Spartak Trnava W	3	2	3	-1	6
9	Dukla Banská Bystrica W	3	2	21	-19	0
10	Z. Moravce-Vrable W	3	1	8	-7	0