Altona 93 vs Teutonia Ottensen Statistics & Analysis

Altona 93

Aug 22, 2026 - 13:30

6 1.54

1 1.06

xG Accuracy: 29%

Teutonia Ottensen

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (7 goals) ✖ Incorrect
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
1X2 Altona 93 Altona 93 ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 6-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 16, 2026 · 01:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-4223167

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Altona 93 win · Altona 93 6–1 Teutonia Ottensen

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: Oberliga - Hamburg
Fixture: Altona 93 vs Teutonia Ottensen
Kickoff: 2026-08-22 13:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 46.8% · Draw 28.7% · Away 24.6%
xG (showing): Altona 93 1.54 — Teutonia Ottensen 1.06 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 52.9% · No 47.1%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

The decision block shows no default Primary: Primary needs consensus EV ≥ +5.0% plus strength/reliability/calibration gates. A separate Lean/tracked gate is +2.0% (selective only). Lean labels are directional only — not bankroll-sized recommendations.

If lines move materially, re-run generation or refresh — implied probabilities and any future EV readouts will change first.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 16, 2026 (UTC)

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