Slovan Sabinov vs Spišská Nová Ves Statistics & Analysis

Slovan Sabinov

Aug 15, 2026 - 15:00

0 1.05

1 1.55

xG Accuracy: 64%

Spišská Nová Ves

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Spišská Nová Ves Spišská Nová Ves ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 0-2, 1-0 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 09, 2026 · 02:36 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-3358909

Closing Odds Pending

AI Fair Odds —

CLV Pending

Final Result Spišská Nová Ves win · Slovan Sabinov 0–1 Spišská Nová Ves

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

League: 3. liga - East
Fixture: Slovan Sabinov vs Spišská Nová Ves
Kickoff: 2026-08-15 15:00:00
1X2 (model): Home 24.1% · Draw 28.5% · Away 47.3%
xG (showing): Slovan Sabinov 1.05 — Spišská Nová Ves 1.55 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 52.8% · No 47.2%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 52.8% · No 47.2%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.1%)

When book depth is thin or odds are missing, EV may be unavailable even though the model still prefers one side on totals or BTTS — wait for cleaner prices or skip.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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