Statistics / Football / Ukraine. Premier League / Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty

Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty Statistics & Analysis

Livyi Bereh Livyi Bereh
Aug 29, 2026 - 12:30
1 1.21
1 1.42
xG Accuracy: 84%
Karpaty Karpaty
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Karpaty Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-2, 1-0, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:02 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5132262

Closing Odds 3.27
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result Draw · Livyi Bereh 1–1 Karpaty
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE30 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
Livyi Bereh (1X2) 30.5 31.0 -0.6
Draw (1X2) 29.2 28.2 +1.0
Karpaty (1X2) 40.3 40.8 -0.5
Over 2.5 goals 48.9 48.9 -0.0
Under 2.5 goals 51.1 51.1 +0.0

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table
Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
Livyi Bereh (1X2) 2.97 2.97 0.0
Draw (1X2) 3.27 3.27 0.0
Karpaty (1X2) 2.26 2.26 0.0
Over 2.5 goals 1.93 1.93 0.0
Under 2.5 goals 1.85 1.85 0.0

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Premier League
  • Fixture: Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 12:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.5% · Draw 29.2% · Away 40.3%
  • xG (showing): Livyi Bereh 1.21 — Karpaty 1.42 (total xG ≈ 2.63)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 48.9% · Implied: 47.9% · Probability edge: +1.0 pts · Est. EV: +7.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.8% · No 45.2%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.4%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 29, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Premier League Premier League — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Polessya 7 6 0 1 18
2 Shakhtar Donetsk 7 6 0 1 18
3 Karpaty 7 4 2 1 14
4 Dynamo Kyiv 6 4 1 1 13
5 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 6 4 0 2 12
6 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 7 2 2 3 8
7 LNZ Cherkasy 7 2 2 3 8
8 Zorya Luhansk 7 2 2 3 8
9 Livyi Bereh 6 1 4 1 7
10 Bukovyna 7 1 4 2 7
11 Veres Rivne 6 1 3 2 6
12 Chornomorets 6 1 2 3 5
13 Kolos Kovalivka 6 1 2 3 5
14 Kryvbas KR 6 1 2 3 5
15 Obolon'-Brovar 7 0 4 3 4
16 Kudrivka 6 0 2 4 2
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Shakhtar Donetsk 7 15 4 +11 18
2 Polessya 7 15 5 +10 18
3 Karpaty 7 15 5 +10 14
4 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 6 12 4 +8 12
5 Dynamo Kyiv 6 9 5 +4 13
6 Kryvbas KR 6 7 10 -3 5
7 Zorya Luhansk 7 7 11 -4 8
8 Epitsentr Dunayivtsi 7 6 7 -1 8
9 Kolos Kovalivka 6 6 10 -4 5
10 LNZ Cherkasy 7 5 8 -3 8
11 Livyi Bereh 6 4 3 +1 7
12 Veres Rivne 6 4 5 -1 6
13 Bukovyna 7 4 6 -2 7
14 Kudrivka 6 4 16 -12 2
15 Chornomorets 6 3 7 -4 5
16 Obolon'-Brovar 7 2 12 -10 4
Premier League Ukraine. Premier League Predictions