Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga I / Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti Statistics & Analysis

Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Oct 09, 2026 - 18:00
0 1.53
2 1.90
xG Accuracy: 64%
Dinamo Bucuresti Dinamo Bucuresti
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Dinamo Bucuresti Dinamo Bucuresti ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 2-1, 2-2, 0-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 04:05 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13246838

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Dinamo Bucuresti win · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 0–2 Dinamo Bucuresti
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga I
  • Fixture: Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe vs Dinamo Bucuresti
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-09 18:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 25.9% · Draw 24.6% · Away 49.5%
  • xG (showing): Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 1.53 — Dinamo Bucuresti 1.9 (total xG ≈ 3.43)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 66.6% · Implied: 54.7% · Probability edge: +11.9 pts · Est. EV: +16.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 67.8% · No 32.1%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.4%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 09, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Liga I Liga I — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 10 7 2 1 23
2 Rapid 10 6 3 1 21
3 Universitatea Craiova 10 6 2 2 20
4 Petrolul Ploiesti 10 6 1 3 19
5 Universitatea Cluj 9 5 0 4 15
6 Farul Constanta 10 3 5 2 14
7 Corvinul Hunedoara 10 3 4 3 13
8 CFR 1907 Cluj 9 4 1 4 13
9 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 10 3 4 3 13
10 Uta Arad 10 3 3 4 12
11 FCSB 10 3 3 4 12
12 FC Botosani 10 2 5 3 11
13 Arges Pitesti 10 3 2 5 11
14 Oţelul 10 2 4 4 10
15 FC Voluntari 10 2 2 6 8
16 Csikszereda 10 0 1 9 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Universitatea Craiova 10 24 9 +15 20
2 Dinamo Bucuresti 10 23 7 +16 23
3 CFR 1907 Cluj 9 15 14 +1 13
4 Rapid 10 14 6 +8 21
5 FC Botosani 10 14 12 +2 11
6 Universitatea Cluj 9 14 13 +1 15
7 Farul Constanta 10 14 14 0 14
8 Uta Arad 10 14 15 -1 12
9 Petrolul Ploiesti 10 13 12 +1 19
10 FCSB 10 13 17 -4 12
11 Corvinul Hunedoara 10 11 9 +2 13
12 Oţelul 10 11 15 -4 10
13 FC Voluntari 10 9 22 -13 8
14 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 10 7 10 -3 13
15 Arges Pitesti 10 6 10 -4 11
16 Csikszereda 10 6 23 -17 1
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Rapid 10 4.0 1.6 +2.4 21
2 Dinamo Bucuresti 10 6.2 4.0 +2.2 23
3 Corvinul Hunedoara 10 2.7 1.6 +1.1 13
4 Farul Constanta 10 1.7 1.0 +0.7 14
5 FCSB 10 1.9 1.4 +0.5 12
6 Csikszereda 10 1.3 1.3 0.0 1
7 FC Botosani 10 2.6 2.9 -0.3 11
8 Arges Pitesti 10 1.4 1.9 -0.5 11
9 Universitatea Cluj 9 1.0 1.7 -0.7 15
10 FC Voluntari 10 4.5 5.3 -0.8 8
11 Petrolul Ploiesti 10 1.4 2.2 -0.8 19
12 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 10 2.4 6.2 -3.8 13
13 Universitatea Craiova 10 — — — 20
14 CFR 1907 Cluj 9 — — — 13
15 Uta Arad 10 — — — 12
16 Oţelul 10 — — — 10
Liga I Romania. Liga I Predictions