Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari Statistics & Analysis

Dinamo Bucuresti

Aug 08, 2026 - 18:30

4 1.80

0 1.68

xG Accuracy: 34%

FC Voluntari

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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

Market Prediction Result Outcome
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (4 goals) ✔ Correct
Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
1X2 Dinamo Bucuresti Dinamo Bucuresti ✔ Correct
Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 4-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 02, 2026 · 02:43 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2828445

Closing Odds 1.53

AI Fair Odds —

CLV +0.0%

Final Result Dinamo Bucuresti win · Dinamo Bucuresti 4–0 FC Voluntari

Prediction ✔ Correct

Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

Market remained largely stable before kickoff. No meaningful late implied-price shift was detected between PRE10 and PRE1 on the prioritized bookmaker snapshot.

Despite limited late movement, the model still prices Draw (1X2), FC Voluntari (1X2), Over 2.5 goals meaningfully above what those closing snapshots implied — that gap is a static “model vs. price” read, not a late steam or chase story.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Over 2.5 goals by about 14.5 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market	Model %	Closing impl. %	Gap (pp)
Dinamo Bucuresti (1X2)	46.7	62.2	-15.5
Draw (1X2)	24.5	21.0	+3.6
FC Voluntari (1X2)	28.7	16.8	+11.9
Over 2.5 goals	67.5	53.0	+14.5
Under 2.5 goals	32.5	47.0	-14.5

What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 67.5% on Over 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 53.0%. The difference — about 14.5 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE10 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Detailed capture odds are folded below — movement was negligible on de-vig implied prices.

View full line-by-line capture table

Market	Early (PRE10)	Closing (PRE1)
Dinamo Bucuresti (1X2)	1.53	1.53
Draw (1X2)	4.54	4.54
FC Voluntari (1X2)	5.65	5.65
Over 2.5 goals	1.81	1.81
Under 2.5 goals	2.04	2.04

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

League: Liga I
Fixture: Dinamo Bucuresti vs FC Voluntari
Kickoff: 2026-08-08 18:30:00
1X2 (model): Home 46.7% · Draw 24.5% · Away 28.7%
xG (showing): Dinamo Bucuresti 1.8 — FC Voluntari 1.68 (total xG ≈ 3.48)
Value headline: At least one tracked line reaches the headline EV threshold — align with the hero / Primary card if shown.
Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 (Under 2.5 32.5% · Over 2.5 67.5%); BTTS Yes (Yes 69.1% · No 30.9%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Over 2.5; BTTS Yes
BTTS (model): Yes 69.1% · No 30.9%
Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.3%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Liga I — Standings

#	TEAM	MP	W	D	L	PTS
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	9	6	2	1	20
2	Rapid	9	5	3	1	18
3	Universitatea Craiova	9	5	2	2	17
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	8	5	0	3	15
5	Farul Constanta	9	3	5	1	14
6	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	9	3	4	2	13
7	FC Botosani	9	2	5	2	11
8	FCSB	8	3	2	3	11
9	Arges Pitesti	9	3	2	4	11
10	Corvinul Hunedoara	9	2	4	3	10
11	Oţelul	8	2	4	2	10
12	CFR 1907 Cluj	8	3	1	4	10
13	Uta Arad	9	2	3	4	9
14	Universitatea Cluj	7	3	0	4	9
15	FC Voluntari	9	2	2	5	8
16	Csikszereda	9	0	1	8	1

#	TEAM	MP	GS	GC	+/-	PTS
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	9	19	7	+12	20
2	Universitatea Craiova	9	19	9	+10	17
3	Farul Constanta	9	14	10	+4	14
4	FC Botosani	9	13	9	+4	11
5	Uta Arad	9	13	15	-2	9
6	CFR 1907 Cluj	8	12	13	-1	10
7	Rapid	9	11	5	+6	18
8	FCSB	8	11	10	+1	11
9	Oţelul	8	9	9	0	10
10	Petrolul Ploiesti	8	9	10	-1	15
11	Universitatea Cluj	7	9	13	-4	9
12	FC Voluntari	9	9	20	-11	8
13	Corvinul Hunedoara	9	8	7	+1	10
14	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	9	7	9	-2	13
15	Csikszereda	9	6	21	-15	1
16	Arges Pitesti	9	5	7	-2	11

#	TEAM	MP	xG	xGC	+/-	PTS
1	Rapid	9	4.0	1.6	+2.4	18
2	Farul Constanta	9	1.7	1.0	+0.7	14
3	Dinamo Bucuresti	9	3.6	3.0	+0.6	20
4	FCSB	8	1.9	1.4	+0.5	11
5	FC Voluntari	9	2.9	2.6	+0.3	8
6	Csikszereda	9	1.3	1.3	0.0	1
7	FC Botosani	9	2.6	2.9	-0.3	11
8	Arges Pitesti	9	1.4	1.9	-0.5	11
9	Universitatea Cluj	7	1.0	1.7	-0.7	9
10	Petrolul Ploiesti	8	1.4	2.2	-0.8	15
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	9	1.4	3.6	-2.2	13
12	Universitatea Craiova	9	—	—	—	17
13	Corvinul Hunedoara	9	—	—	—	10
14	Oţelul	8	—	—	—	10
15	CFR 1907 Cluj	8	—	—	—	10
16	Uta Arad	9	—	—	—	9