Statistics / Football / Romania. Liga I / FC Voluntari vs Uta Arad

FC Voluntari vs Uta Arad Statistics & Analysis

FC Voluntari FC Voluntari
Aug 01, 2026 - 15:30
1 1.84
0 1.64
xG Accuracy: 51%
Uta Arad Uta Arad
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 FC Voluntari FC Voluntari ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-2, 2-2, 1-0 1-0 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Jul 26, 2026 · 04:23 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-1818008

Closing Odds 2.89
AI Fair Odds —
CLV +0.0%
Final Result FC Voluntari win · FC Voluntari 1–0 Uta Arad
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): +37.5%

Market intelligence

Supporting read on how the prioritized closing feed moved versus the model — use after the Primary pick above.

Market briefing

The largest late implied swing on this feed was about 0.77 percentage points on Draw (1X2) between PRE30 and PRE1.

The model still exceeds closing implied on Over 2.5 goals by about 26.7 percentage points — the clearest mispricing signal summarized on this page.

Model vs. closing implied

Market Model % Closing impl. % Gap (pp)
FC Voluntari (1X2) 41.8 33.0 +8.8
Draw (1X2) 24.6 30.9 -6.3
Uta Arad (1X2) 33.5 36.0 -2.5
Over 2.5 goals 67.5 40.8 +26.7
Under 2.5 goals 32.5 59.2 -26.7
What this means

In plain terms: the model lands near 67.5% on Over 2.5 goals, while the closing snapshot implied about 40.8%. The difference — about 26.7 percentage points — is the largest model-vs.-market gap highlighted on this page.

Quick definitions: “closing implied” is the probability for that outcome implied by the final captured odds (after a simple de-vig). “Gap (pp)” is the model percentage minus that implied value, in percentage points (pp).

Closing-window line move

Single prioritized bookmaker per snapshot (not all books). Capture path: PRE30 → PRE1 · Book: Pinnacle

Column tags in parentheses: Closing uses the first available snapshot in PRE1→PRE5→PRE10→PRE30; Early uses the first available in PRE30→PRE10→PRE5 that is not the same capture as Closing.

Market Early (PRE30) Closing (PRE1) Implied Δ (pp)
FC Voluntari (1X2) 2.86 2.89 -0.3
Draw (1X2) 3.17 3.09 +0.8
Uta Arad (1X2) 2.62 2.65 -0.4
Over 2.5 goals 2.33 2.34 -0.2
Under 2.5 goals 1.62 1.61 +0.2

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Liga I
  • Fixture: FC Voluntari vs Uta Arad
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-01 15:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 41.8% · Draw 24.6% · Away 33.6%
  • xG (showing): FC Voluntari 1.84 — Uta Arad 1.64 (total xG ≈ 3.48)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 67.5% · Implied: 41.4% · Probability edge: +26.1 pts · Est. EV: +58.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 69.0% · No 31.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (9.3%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 15, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Liga I Liga I — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 9 6 2 1 20
2 Rapid 9 5 3 1 18
3 Universitatea Craiova 9 5 2 2 17
4 Petrolul Ploiesti 8 5 0 3 15
5 Farul Constanta 9 3 5 1 14
6 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 9 3 4 2 13
7 FC Botosani 9 2 5 2 11
8 FCSB 8 3 2 3 11
9 Arges Pitesti 9 3 2 4 11
10 Corvinul Hunedoara 9 2 4 3 10
11 Oţelul 8 2 4 2 10
12 CFR 1907 Cluj 8 3 1 4 10
13 Uta Arad 9 2 3 4 9
14 Universitatea Cluj 7 3 0 4 9
15 FC Voluntari 9 2 2 5 8
16 Csikszereda 9 0 1 8 1
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Dinamo Bucuresti 9 19 7 +12 20
2 Universitatea Craiova 9 19 9 +10 17
3 Farul Constanta 9 14 10 +4 14
4 FC Botosani 9 13 9 +4 11
5 Uta Arad 9 13 15 -2 9
6 CFR 1907 Cluj 8 12 13 -1 10
7 Rapid 9 11 5 +6 18
8 FCSB 8 11 10 +1 11
9 Oţelul 8 9 9 0 10
10 Petrolul Ploiesti 8 9 10 -1 15
11 Universitatea Cluj 7 9 13 -4 9
12 FC Voluntari 9 9 20 -11 8
13 Corvinul Hunedoara 9 8 7 +1 10
14 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 9 7 9 -2 13
15 Csikszereda 9 6 21 -15 1
16 Arges Pitesti 9 5 7 -2 11
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Rapid 9 4.0 1.6 +2.4 18
2 Farul Constanta 9 1.7 1.0 +0.7 14
3 Dinamo Bucuresti 9 3.6 3.0 +0.6 20
4 FCSB 8 1.9 1.4 +0.5 11
5 FC Voluntari 9 2.9 2.6 +0.3 8
6 Csikszereda 9 1.3 1.3 0.0 1
7 FC Botosani 9 2.6 2.9 -0.3 11
8 Arges Pitesti 9 1.4 1.9 -0.5 11
9 Universitatea Cluj 7 1.0 1.7 -0.7 9
10 Petrolul Ploiesti 8 1.4 2.2 -0.8 15
11 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 9 1.4 3.6 -2.2 13
12 Universitatea Craiova 9 — — — 17
13 Corvinul Hunedoara 9 — — — 10
14 Oţelul 8 — — — 10
15 CFR 1907 Cluj 8 — — — 10
16 Uta Arad 9 — — — 9
Liga I Romania. Liga I Predictions