Statistics / Football / Northern-Ireland. Championship / Warrenpoint Town vs Annagh United

Warrenpoint Town vs Annagh United Statistics & Analysis

Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
1 1.20
1 1.40
xG Accuracy: 85%
Annagh United Annagh United
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No Yes ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Annagh United Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 1-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:34 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11241892

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Warrenpoint Town 1–1 Annagh United
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade F

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Championship
  • Fixture: Warrenpoint Town vs Annagh United
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 30.6% · Draw 29.5% · Away 40.0%
  • xG (showing): Warrenpoint Town 1.2 — Annagh United 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 45.3% · Probability edge: +6.5 pts · Est. EV: +10.3%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.3% · No 45.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Use the cards for tiering; this text only restates the same inputs in narrative form.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 14, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Championship Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Annagh United 10 6 3 1 21
2 Glenavon FC 10 6 2 2 20
3 Newington Youth 10 6 2 2 20
4 Queen's University 10 6 1 3 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 16
6 H&W Welders 10 5 0 5 15
7 Newry City AFC 10 4 3 3 15
8 Warrenpoint Town 10 4 2 4 14
9 Ballinamallard United 10 4 2 4 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 11
13 Moyola Park 10 3 2 5 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 9
15 Rathfriland 10 2 0 8 6
16 Armagh City 10 0 5 5 5
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Glenavon FC 10 25 13 +12 20
2 Annagh United 10 24 13 +11 21
3 Newington Youth 10 24 18 +6 20
4 Queen's University 10 20 7 +13 19
5 Institute 10 20 17 +3 16
6 Warrenpoint Town 10 18 15 +3 14
7 H&W Welders 10 18 16 +2 15
8 Dundela 10 18 20 -2 11
9 Ballinamallard United 10 16 16 0 14
10 Newry City AFC 10 16 18 -2 15
11 Loughgall 10 14 19 -5 13
12 Ards 10 12 13 -1 12
13 Strabane Athletic 10 10 19 -9 9
14 Moyola Park 10 10 20 -10 11
15 Rathfriland 10 9 22 -13 6
16 Armagh City 10 8 16 -8 5
Championship Northern-Ireland. Championship Predictions