Statistics / Football / Northern-Ireland. Championship / Strabane Athletic vs Armagh City

Strabane Athletic vs Armagh City Statistics & Analysis

Oct 02, 2026 - 18:45
0 1.58
0 1.02
xG Accuracy: 49%
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (0 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Strabane Athletic Draw ✖ Incorrect
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-0, 2-1, 2-0, 0-1 0-0 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 26, 2026 · 02:50 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-10982459

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Draw · Strabane Athletic 0–0 Armagh City
Prediction ✖ Missed
Decision Grade C

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Championship
  • Fixture: Strabane Athletic vs Armagh City
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-02 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 48.8% · Draw 28.3% · Away 22.9%
  • xG (showing): Strabane Athletic 1.58 — Armagh City 1.02 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Under 2.5 goals
  • Model: 51.8% · Implied: 44.0% · Probability edge: +7.8 pts · Est. EV: +14.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 52.3% · No 47.7%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.0%)

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Correct score remains high-variance even when a line is most likely on paper.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Missed — Pre-match 1X2 lean did not match the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 06, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Championship Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Newington Youth 9 6 2 1 20
2 Annagh United 9 6 2 1 20
3 Glenavon FC 9 5 2 2 17
4 Queen's University 9 5 1 3 16
5 H&W Welders 9 5 0 4 15
6 Newry City AFC 9 4 3 2 15
7 Warrenpoint Town 9 4 1 4 13
8 Ballinamallard United 9 4 1 4 13
9 Institute 9 4 1 4 13
10 Dundela 9 2 5 2 11
11 Ards 9 3 2 4 11
12 Moyola Park 9 3 2 4 11
13 Loughgall 9 2 4 3 10
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 9
15 Armagh City 10 0 5 5 5
16 Rathfriland 9 1 0 8 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Newington Youth 9 24 11 +13 20
2 Annagh United 9 23 12 +11 20
3 Glenavon FC 9 22 13 +9 17
4 Queen's University 9 18 7 +11 16
5 Dundela 9 18 18 0 11
6 H&W Welders 9 17 13 +4 15
7 Warrenpoint Town 9 17 14 +3 13
8 Ballinamallard United 9 15 15 0 13
9 Newry City AFC 9 15 16 -1 15
10 Institute 9 13 17 -4 13
11 Loughgall 9 12 18 -6 10
12 Ards 9 11 12 -1 11
13 Moyola Park 9 10 17 -7 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 10 19 -9 9
15 Armagh City 10 8 16 -8 5
16 Rathfriland 9 6 21 -15 3