Statistics / Football / Northern-Ireland. Championship / Dundela vs Queen's University

Dundela vs Queen's University Statistics & Analysis

Dundela Dundela
Oct 03, 2026 - 14:00
0 1.24
2 1.36
xG Accuracy: 60%
Queen's University Queen's University
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Under 2.5 (2 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes No ✖ Incorrect
  • 1X2 Queen's University Queen's University ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 0-2 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Sep 27, 2026 · 02:33 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-11241782

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Queen's University win · Dundela 0–2 Queen's University
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Quick read on how the model reads this matchup.

  • League: Championship
  • Fixture: Dundela vs Queen's University
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-03 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 32.4% · Draw 29.6% · Away 38.0%
  • xG (showing): Dundela 1.24 — Queen's University 1.36 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.4% · No 45.6%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.5%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Prefer skipping to over-staking when the engine is honest about missing edge.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 05, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Championship Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Newington Youth 9 6 2 1 20
2 Annagh United 9 6 2 1 20
3 Glenavon FC 9 5 2 2 17
4 Queen's University 9 5 1 3 16
5 H&W Welders 9 5 0 4 15
6 Newry City AFC 9 4 3 2 15
7 Warrenpoint Town 9 4 1 4 13
8 Ballinamallard United 9 4 1 4 13
9 Institute 9 4 1 4 13
10 Dundela 9 2 5 2 11
11 Ards 9 3 2 4 11
12 Moyola Park 9 3 2 4 11
13 Loughgall 9 2 4 3 10
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 9
15 Armagh City 10 0 5 5 5
16 Rathfriland 9 1 0 8 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Newington Youth 9 24 11 +13 20
2 Annagh United 9 23 12 +11 20
3 Glenavon FC 9 22 13 +9 17
4 Queen's University 9 18 7 +11 16
5 Dundela 9 18 18 0 11
6 H&W Welders 9 17 13 +4 15
7 Warrenpoint Town 9 17 14 +3 13
8 Ballinamallard United 9 15 15 0 13
9 Newry City AFC 9 15 16 -1 15
10 Institute 9 13 17 -4 13
11 Loughgall 9 12 18 -6 10
12 Ards 9 11 12 -1 11
13 Moyola Park 9 10 17 -7 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 10 19 -9 9
15 Armagh City 10 8 16 -8 5
16 Rathfriland 9 6 21 -15 3
Championship Northern-Ireland. Championship Predictions