Statistics / Football / Northern-Ireland. Championship / Newington Youth vs Annagh United

Newington Youth vs Annagh United Statistics & Analysis

Newington Youth Newington Youth
Aug 08, 2026 - 14:00
4 1.30
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 44%
Annagh United Annagh United
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 2.5 (5 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Newington Youth Newington Youth ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 4-1 ✖ Incorrect

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 01, 2026 · 02:46 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-2682145

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Newington Youth win · Newington Youth 4–1 Annagh United
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Championship
  • Fixture: Newington Youth vs Annagh United
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-07 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.2% · Draw 29.6% · Away 35.2%
  • xG (showing): Newington Youth 1.3 — Annagh United 1.3 (total xG ≈ 2.6)
  • Value headline: None — no positive EV could be estimated on tracked lines at current best prices (missing odds or thin book depth).
  • Structural leans (not bets): Structural lean (model): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 (Under 2.5 51.8% · Over 2.5 48.2%); BTTS Yes (Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%) Value lean (pricing): O/U 2.5 Under 2.5; BTTS Yes
  • BTTS (model): Yes 54.5% · No 45.5%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (12.6%)

Saying “no value” on a snapshot is a feature, not a bug: it protects readers from forcing a play when the edge is not there.

Most likely correct score stays a low-probability tail: use it for context, not as a must-bet story.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Championship Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Glenavon FC 9 5 2 2 17
2 Newington Youth 8 5 2 1 17
3 Annagh United 8 5 2 1 17
4 Queen's University 8 5 1 2 16
5 H&W Welders 9 5 0 4 15
6 Newry City AFC 9 4 3 2 15
7 Ballinamallard United 8 4 1 3 13
8 Warrenpoint Town 9 4 1 4 13
9 Institute 8 4 1 3 13
10 Ards 8 3 2 3 11
11 Loughgall 9 2 4 3 10
12 Dundela 8 1 5 2 8
13 Moyola Park 8 2 2 4 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 1 2 5 5
15 Armagh City 8 0 4 4 4
16 Rathfriland 9 1 0 8 3
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 Glenavon FC 9 22 13 +9 17
2 Newington Youth 8 20 11 +9 17
3 Queen's University 8 18 6 +12 16
4 Annagh United 8 18 12 +6 17
5 H&W Welders 9 17 13 +4 15
6 Warrenpoint Town 9 17 14 +3 13
7 Dundela 8 16 18 -2 8
8 Ballinamallard United 8 15 11 +4 13
9 Newry City AFC 9 15 16 -1 15
10 Institute 8 13 12 +1 13
11 Loughgall 9 12 18 -6 10
12 Ards 8 11 11 0 11
13 Moyola Park 8 9 17 -8 8
14 Strabane Athletic 8 9 19 -10 5
15 Armagh City 8 8 14 -6 4
16 Rathfriland 9 6 21 -15 3
Championship Northern-Ireland. Championship Predictions