Statistics / Football / England. Championship / Norwich vs Southampton

Norwich vs Southampton Statistics & Analysis

Norwich Norwich
Oct 14, 2026 - 18:45
0 1.19
1 1.95
xG Accuracy: 56%
Southampton Southampton
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 (1 goals) ✖ Incorrect
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS No No ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Southampton Southampton ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 1-2, 0-1, 0-2, 1-3 0-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 08, 2026 · 02:25 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13901568

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Southampton win · Norwich 0–1 Southampton
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade B-

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Championship
  • Fixture: Norwich vs Southampton
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-14 18:45:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 23.9% · Draw 25.1% · Away 51.0%
  • xG (showing): Norwich 1.19 — Southampton 1.95 (total xG ≈ 3.14)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Southampton
  • Model: 51.0% · Implied: 33.5% · Probability edge: +17.6 pts · Est. EV: +10.0%
  • BTTS (model): Yes 61.0% · No 39.0%
  • Correct score (top bin): 1-1 (10.0%)

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

1X2 can look balanced even when side markets show clearer structure.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: AI Value Alert - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 16, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Championship Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Swansea 10 7 2 1 23
2 Middlesbrough 10 6 3 1 21
3 West Ham 10 5 4 1 19
4 Birmingham 10 4 5 1 17
5 QPR 10 4 5 1 17
6 West Brom 10 5 2 3 17
7 Southampton 10 6 2 2 16
8 Stoke City 10 5 1 4 16
9 Blackburn 10 4 3 3 15
10 Wolves 9 4 2 3 14
11 Millwall 10 4 2 4 14
12 Bristol City 10 4 2 4 14
13 Charlton 10 3 5 2 14
14 Bolton 10 4 1 5 13
15 Sheffield Utd 10 3 3 4 12
16 Portsmouth 9 3 2 4 11
17 Wrexham 10 2 5 3 11
18 Lincoln 10 3 2 5 11
19 Cardiff 10 2 4 4 10
20 Norwich 10 3 0 7 9
21 Burnley 10 1 5 4 8
22 Watford 10 2 2 6 8
23 Derby 10 1 3 6 6
24 Preston 10 1 1 8 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 West Ham 10 29 12 +17 19
2 Southampton 10 21 10 +11 16
3 Middlesbrough 10 20 14 +6 21
4 Birmingham 10 17 11 +6 17
5 Stoke City 10 17 16 +1 16
6 Norwich 10 17 20 -3 9
7 Swansea 10 16 7 +9 23
8 Wolves 9 16 14 +2 14
9 Cardiff 10 16 15 +1 10
10 Millwall 10 16 16 0 14
11 QPR 10 15 9 +6 17
12 Blackburn 10 15 13 +2 15
13 Bolton 10 15 18 -3 13
14 Burnley 10 15 19 -4 8
15 Sheffield Utd 10 14 14 0 12
16 West Brom 10 12 10 +2 17
17 Portsmouth 9 12 13 -1 11
18 Bristol City 10 12 14 -2 14
19 Wrexham 10 11 15 -4 11
20 Charlton 10 10 13 -3 14
21 Derby 10 9 19 -10 6
22 Watford 10 8 19 -11 8
23 Preston 10 8 20 -12 4
24 Lincoln 10 7 17 -10 11
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Southampton 10 10.7 4.7 +6.0 16
2 Middlesbrough 10 12.3 6.5 +5.8 21
3 QPR 10 11.8 6.7 +5.1 17
4 Birmingham 10 12.4 7.8 +4.6 17
5 Wolves 9 11.0 6.4 +4.6 14
6 Swansea 10 8.7 4.7 +4.0 23
7 West Ham 10 9.6 5.7 +3.9 19
8 Wrexham 10 7.1 5.0 +2.1 11
9 Millwall 10 10.8 9.7 +1.1 14
10 Bolton 10 7.4 6.7 +0.7 13
11 Cardiff 10 10.5 10.0 +0.5 10
12 Portsmouth 9 7.3 8.1 -0.8 11
13 Sheffield Utd 10 6.0 6.9 -0.9 12
14 Burnley 10 7.8 8.8 -1.0 8
15 Bristol City 10 7.6 9.0 -1.4 14
16 Charlton 10 7.5 9.2 -1.7 14
17 Norwich 10 8.7 11.1 -2.4 9
18 Blackburn 10 4.7 7.7 -3.0 15
19 Preston 10 3.5 6.9 -3.4 4
20 West Brom 10 7.5 11.0 -3.5 17
21 Derby 10 6.1 10.1 -4.0 6
22 Lincoln 10 6.2 10.3 -4.1 11
23 Watford 10 4.7 9.5 -4.8 8
24 Stoke City 10 3.5 11.1 -7.6 16
Championship England. Championship Predictions