Statistics / Football / England. Championship / Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea vs Norwich Statistics & Analysis

Swansea Swansea
Oct 10, 2026 - 11:30
2 1.72
1 1.30
xG Accuracy: 85%
Norwich Norwich
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Swansea Swansea ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 2-1, 1-0, 2-0, 1-2 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Oct 05, 2026 · 01:15 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-13192181

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Swansea win · Swansea 2–1 Norwich
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Below is a compact, numbers-first snapshot aligned with the same engine as the cards above.

  • League: Championship
  • Fixture: Swansea vs Norwich
  • Kickoff: 2026-10-10 11:30:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 45.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away 27.6%
  • xG (showing): Swansea 1.72 — Norwich 1.3 (total xG ≈ 3.02)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 58.1% · Implied: 54.1% · Probability edge: +4.0 pts · Est. EV: +4.6%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Totals and BTTS are evaluated against current market prices where available.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: Selective Lean - No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

October 13, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Championship Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 11
12 Lincoln 8 3 2 3 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 West Ham 8 22 11 +11 15
2 Southampton 8 19 10 +9 10
3 Middlesbrough 8 16 12 +4 15
4 Norwich 8 16 17 -1 9
5 Wolves 7 15 10 +5 14
6 Millwall 8 15 15 0 11
7 Swansea 8 13 6 +7 17
8 Stoke City 8 13 12 +1 13
9 Birmingham 8 12 11 +1 11
10 Blackburn 8 12 12 0 9
11 Bristol City 8 11 12 -1 13
12 Bolton 8 11 15 -4 10
13 QPR 8 10 7 +3 13
14 West Brom 8 10 8 +2 14
15 Cardiff 8 10 12 -2 7
16 Portsmouth 7 9 10 -1 8
17 Sheffield Utd 8 9 11 -2 9
18 Wrexham 8 9 12 -3 10
19 Burnley 8 9 17 -8 4
20 Preston 8 8 15 -7 4
21 Lincoln 8 7 8 -1 11
22 Charlton 8 7 10 -3 12
23 Watford 8 7 10 -3 8
24 Derby 8 7 14 -7 5
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Middlesbrough 8 12.4 6.6 +5.8 15
2 Southampton 8 8.5 3.4 +5.1 10
3 Birmingham 8 12.4 7.8 +4.6 11
4 Wolves 7 11.0 6.4 +4.6 14
5 QPR 8 9.8 5.7 +4.1 13
6 Swansea 8 8.7 4.7 +4.0 17
7 Wrexham 8 7.2 5.0 +2.2 10
8 Millwall 8 10.9 9.8 +1.1 11
9 West Ham 8 6.4 5.3 +1.1 15
10 Bolton 8 7.4 6.8 +0.6 10
11 Cardiff 8 10.6 10.1 +0.5 7
12 Sheffield Utd 8 4.2 4.9 -0.7 9
13 Burnley 8 7.8 8.8 -1.0 4
14 Portsmouth 7 5.3 6.3 -1.0 8
15 Lincoln 8 5.8 7.0 -1.2 11
16 Bristol City 8 7.6 9.1 -1.5 13
17 Norwich 8 7.4 8.9 -1.5 9
18 Charlton 8 7.5 9.2 -1.7 12
19 Blackburn 8 4.8 7.7 -2.9 9
20 Derby 8 5.0 8.1 -3.1 5
21 Preston 8 3.6 6.9 -3.3 4
22 West Brom 8 7.6 11.1 -3.5 14
23 Watford 8 4.8 9.6 -4.8 8
24 Stoke City 8 3.6 11.2 -7.6 13
Championship England. Championship Predictions