Statistics / Football / England. Championship / Bristol City vs Portsmouth

Bristol City vs Portsmouth Statistics & Analysis

Bristol City Bristol City
Aug 29, 2026 - 14:00
2 1.37
1 1.40
xG Accuracy: 75%
Portsmouth Portsmouth
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Tracked markets vs full-time result

Each row compares the pre-match model lean to the full-time result.

  • Market Prediction Result Outcome
  • Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5 Over 2.5 (3 goals) ✔ Correct
  • Both Teams To Score BTTS Yes Yes ✔ Correct
  • 1X2 Bristol City Bristol City ✔ Correct
  • Correct Score Insights 1-1, 0-1, 1-0, 1-2, 2-1 2-1 ✔ Correct

Validation Report

Immutable Snapshot

Prediction Time: Aug 23, 2026 · 02:42 UTC Snapshot ID: dp-5138889

Closing Odds Pending
AI Fair Odds —
CLV Pending
Final Result Bristol City win · Bristol City 2–1 Portsmouth
Prediction ✔ Correct
Decision Grade A

Model Performance

This prediction contributes to:

  • Primary Bets ROI (180d): -100.0%

AI match briefing

AI Match Summary

Pre-match snapshot for this fixture.

  • League: Championship
  • Fixture: Bristol City vs Portsmouth
  • Kickoff: 2026-08-29 14:00:00
  • 1X2 (model): Home 35.9% · Draw 28.5% · Away 35.6%
  • xG (showing): Bristol City 1.37 — Portsmouth 1.4 (total xG ≈ 2.77)
  • Best +EV line (same label as hero card when Primary thresholds are not met): Over 2.5 goals
  • Model: 52.3% · Implied: 46.8% · Probability edge: +5.6 pts · Est. EV: +9.8%
  • BTTS (model): Yes N/A · No N/A
  • Correct score (top bin): N/A

Where EV is shown, it is estimated return per unit stake at the best tracked decimal price — not the same thing as a raw probability gap.

Early match state can move realised goals away from pre-kick projections.

Historical Recommendation

Historical Decision: No Primary Bet

Outcome: Validated — Pre-match lean validated against the full-time result.

Risk Factors Considered Before Kickoff

  • Price movement: implied probabilities and EV move with odds.
  • Sample / data gaps: low-information leagues widen forecast bands.
  • In-play state: goals and red cards are not modelled here.
  • Scoreline variance: the most likely scoreline is still usually a low absolute probability outcome (often well below 20%).

Last Updated

September 30, 2026 (UTC)

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Back to Statistics
Championship Championship — Standings
# TEAM MP W D L PTS
1 Swansea 8 5 2 1 17
2 West Ham 8 4 3 1 15
3 Middlesbrough 8 4 3 1 15
4 Wolves 7 4 2 1 14
5 West Brom 8 4 2 2 14
6 QPR 8 3 4 1 13
7 Stoke City 8 4 1 3 13
8 Bristol City 8 4 1 3 13
9 Charlton 8 3 3 2 12
10 Birmingham 8 2 5 1 11
11 Millwall 8 3 2 3 11
12 Lincoln 8 3 2 3 11
13 Southampton 8 4 2 2 10
14 Wrexham 8 2 4 2 10
15 Bolton 8 3 1 4 10
16 Blackburn 8 2 3 3 9
17 Norwich 8 3 0 5 9
18 Sheffield Utd 8 2 3 3 9
19 Portsmouth 7 2 2 3 8
20 Watford 8 2 2 4 8
21 Cardiff 8 1 4 3 7
22 Derby 8 1 2 5 5
23 Preston 8 1 1 6 4
24 Burnley 8 0 4 4 4
# TEAM MP GS GC +/- PTS
1 West Ham 8 22 11 +11 15
2 Southampton 8 19 10 +9 10
3 Middlesbrough 8 16 12 +4 15
4 Norwich 8 16 17 -1 9
5 Wolves 7 15 10 +5 14
6 Millwall 8 15 15 0 11
7 Swansea 8 13 6 +7 17
8 Stoke City 8 13 12 +1 13
9 Birmingham 8 12 11 +1 11
10 Blackburn 8 12 12 0 9
11 Bristol City 8 11 12 -1 13
12 Bolton 8 11 15 -4 10
13 QPR 8 10 7 +3 13
14 West Brom 8 10 8 +2 14
15 Cardiff 8 10 12 -2 7
16 Portsmouth 7 9 10 -1 8
17 Sheffield Utd 8 9 11 -2 9
18 Wrexham 8 9 12 -3 10
19 Burnley 8 9 17 -8 4
20 Preston 8 8 15 -7 4
21 Lincoln 8 7 8 -1 11
22 Charlton 8 7 10 -3 12
23 Watford 8 7 10 -3 8
24 Derby 8 7 14 -7 5
# TEAM MP xG xGC +/- PTS
1 Southampton 8 7.2 2.6 +4.6 10
2 Wolves 7 8.2 3.8 +4.4 14
3 QPR 8 8.5 4.2 +4.3 13
4 Middlesbrough 8 8.8 5.3 +3.5 15
5 Wrexham 8 5.4 3.5 +1.9 10
6 Swansea 8 4.6 3.0 +1.6 17
7 Millwall 8 8.6 7.2 +1.4 11
8 Birmingham 8 7.5 6.2 +1.3 11
9 West Ham 8 4.9 4.0 +0.9 15
10 Norwich 8 6.8 6.6 +0.2 9
11 Sheffield Utd 8 3.6 3.6 0.0 9
12 Portsmouth 7 4.5 4.9 -0.4 8
13 Cardiff 8 5.8 6.8 -1.0 7
14 Bolton 8 2.8 3.8 -1.0 10
15 Preston 8 2.4 3.5 -1.1 4
16 Burnley 8 4.8 6.0 -1.2 4
17 Watford 8 2.6 4.0 -1.4 8
18 Lincoln 8 4.5 6.4 -1.9 11
19 Blackburn 8 2.8 4.7 -1.9 9
20 Derby 8 4.5 6.8 -2.3 5
21 West Brom 8 5.4 8.0 -2.6 14
22 Bristol City 8 4.1 6.9 -2.8 13
23 Charlton 8 3.4 6.5 -3.1 12
24 Stoke City 8 2.2 5.6 -3.4 13